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Regional geopolitics

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  • Re: Regional geopolitics

    «Եթե Ադրբեջանն անդամակցի ԵՏՄ-ին, կունենանք այն իրավիճակը, ինչ ունեինք մինչեւ 88 թվականը»
    Lragir.am
    Քաղաքականություն - Շաբաթ, 07 Հունիսի 2014,



    Medialab.am. Սահմանին հնչած վերջին կրակոցներով Ադրբեջանը Հայաստանին հասկացնում է, որ իրականում Հայաստանը դաշնակից չունի,-անդրադառնալով հունիսի 5-ին Երասխ գյուղին հարող հայ-ադրբեջանական զորքերի շփման գծի միջադեպին` «Մեդիալաբին» ասում է «Մոդուս Վիվենդի» կենտրոնի ղեկավար Արա Պապյանը:

    «Ադրբեջանը հստակ հասկացնում է՝ եղբայր, դուք դաշնակից չունեք, ձեր դաշնակիցն իմ դաշնակիցն է: Հիշենք Ռուսաստանի վերջին ուղերձը՝ ուղղված Ադրբեջանին, որտեղ Ադրբեջանը գնահատվեց որպես ստրատեգիական գործընկեր: Վլադիմիրի Պուտինը մայիսի 28-ին շնորհավորեց Ադրբեջանին, բայց չշնորհավորեց Հայաստանին` Հանրապետության օրվա առիթով: Ադրբեջանը հասկանում է, որ եթե ռուսն իրեն զենք է ծախում, մեր դաշնակիցը չէ» ,- «Մեդիալաբին» ասում է Արա Պապյանը:

    Ըստ վերլուծաբանի, որքան ավելանում է Ադրբեջանի զենքն ու տնտեսական հզորությունը, այնքան նրա ինքնավստահությունը մեծանում է:

    Մյուս կողմից, ըստ Արա Պապյանի, Ռուսաստանը, որը համարվում է Հայաստանի ռազմավարական դաշնակիցը, աչք է փակում Ադրբեջանի գործողությունների վրա:

    «Ադրբեջանը հարձակումներ գործեց նաեւ Տավուշի մարզի վրա, գնդակոծեց Ոսկեպարը, որը ՀՀ մաս է, երեք զինծառայող սպանվեց Հայաստանի տարածքում: Հայ-ռուսական համաձայնագրով այդ սահմանը պետք է պաշտպանվեր նաեւ ռուսների կողմից, բայց Ռուսաստանը ոչ միայն որեւէ քայլ չարեց, այլեւ անգամ չարտահայտվեց, հետեւաբար Ադրբեջանը ղարաբաղյան ճակատից հարվածը տեղափոխում է այս ուղղությամբ, դրանով իսկ պատերազմի մեսիջ հղելով Հայաստանին»,-նշում է Արա Պապյանը` հավելելով, որ Ռուսաստանի խաղն անազնիվ է նաեւ ԵՏՄ հարցում:

    Քաղաքագետի խոսքով, այսօր Ռուսաստանը մի կողմից շահագրգռելով Հայաստանին մտնել Եվրասիական տնտեսական միություն՝ քաջ գիտակցելով, որ մեզ համար հիմնական գործոնը Ղարաբաղի անվտանգությունն է, մյուս կողմից հրավեր ուղարկելով Ադրբեջանին՝ դրանով իսկ չեզոքացնելով եւ վատթարացնելով այդ հարցը:

    Հիշեցնենք, որ դեռ մարտ ամսին Ռուսասատանի տնտեսական զարգացման նախարար Ալեքսեյ Ուլյուկաևը Բաքվում հայտարարել էր, որ Ադրբեջանը կարող է քննարկել Եվրասիական տնտեսական համագործակցության շրջանակներում ինտեգրացիոն գործընթացներին մասնակցելու հարցը:

    «Ինտեգրման բոլոր ձևերը քննարկման ենթակա են: Այստեղ որևէ արգելք գոյություն չունի: Կարծում եմ, որ տրամաբանական կլիներԱդրբեջանի անդամակցությունն այդ համաձայնագրերում»,- ասել էր նա:

    «Մեզ համոզում էին, որ սա բխում է Ղարաբաղի անվտանգությունից, որ մենք Ղարաբաղի հետ ընդհանուր դաշտի մեջ ենք, դա ասվել է պաշտոնապես, բայց հիմա պարզվում է, որ Ղարաբաղը մնալու է ռուսների ասած՝ За бортом: Ստացվում է մենք դուրս եկանք ԽՍՀՄ-ից, որտեղ ավելի լավ կարգավիճակ ունեինք , որ մտնենք բոլոր պարամետրերով ավելի վատ միություն »,-նշում է Արա Պապյանը:

    Հիշեցնենք, որ Եվրասիական տնտեսական բարձրագույն խորհրդի ընդլայնված նիստին Ղազախստանի նախագահ Նազարբաեւն ընթերցել էր Ադրբեջանի նախագահի նամակը, որի համաձայն՝ Հայաստանը Եվրասիական տնտեսական միությանը պետք է անդամակցի իր միջազգայնորեն ընդունված սահմաններով, այսինքն՝ առանց Լեռնային Ղարաբաղի։

    Հայաստանի նախագահ Սերժ Սարգսյանը Նազարբաեւի հայտարարությանն արձագանքել էր օրեր անց՝ Երեւանում՝ հայտարարելով, որ Հայաստանի՝ ԵՏՄ-ին անդամակցելու հարցում որեւէ խոչընդոտ չկա:

    «Ինչ վերաբերում է Նազարբաևի հնչեցրածին. նախ այն գլխից սխալ է սահմանների մասին խոսելը: Ի՞նչ սահմանների մասին ենք խոսում: Ղարաբաղի խնդիրը Մաքսային միությունում չի լուծվում: Իսկ ո՞վ է ասել, որ մենք Ղարաբաղով ենք մտնելու Մաքսային միություն: Այդպիսի բան չի եղել և չի էլ կարող լինել, որովհետև Ղարաբաղը գոնե մեր օրենսդրությամբ, գոնե մեր պատկերացումներով Հայաստանի մաս չէ այսօր կազմում: Իսկ որ Մաքսային միությանն անդամակցելը նպաստում է Լեռնային Ղարաբաղի խնդրի լուծմանը սա միանշանակ է:Իհարկե, Նազարբաևի հնչեցրածը տհաճ էր, բայց դա որևէ վնաս չի կարող մեզ տալ»,-ասել էր Հայաստանի նախագահը:

    Ավելին կարդացեք սկզբնաղբյուր կայքում

    - See more at: http://www.lragir.am/index/arm/0/pol....Cy2ECEfg.dpuf

    Comment


    • Re: Regional geopolitics

      Armenia Warns Azerbaijan After Deadly Border Shooting
      Armenia threatened Azerbaijan with “severe consequences” on Friday after two of its soldiers were shot dead on its border with the Azerbaijani exclave of Nakhichevan.


      Irina Hovhannisyan եւ Ruzanna Stepanian
      Հրապարակված է՝ 06.06.2014

      Armenia threatened Azerbaijan with “severe consequences” on Friday after two of its soldiers were shot dead on its border with the Azerbaijani exclave of Nakhichevan.

      According to the Armenian military, the 26-year-old Andranik Yeghoyan and Boris Gasparian, 22, were killed on Thursday by sniper from Azerbaijani army positions located about 70 kilometers southeast of Yerevan. The area is much closer to Nakhichevan’s short border with Turkey.

      “For several days the enemy created tension, through disinformation and various political provocations, on the Nakhichevan border,” said Artsrun Hovannisian, the Armenian Defense Ministry spokesman. “We lost two soldiers as a result of yesterday’s shooting. The enemy was silenced after we returned fire.”

      There has been no official reaction yet from the Azerbaijani side.

      Ceasefire violations on Armenia’s border with Nakhichevan have been very rare unlike at other sections of the long Armenian-Azerbaijani frontier and “the line of contact” around Nagorno-Karabakh. Still, armed incidents there appear to have somewhat increased since last year. An Azerbaijani soldier serving in Nakhichevan was reported killed in action on Monday.

      The ensuing fatal shooting of the two Armenian servicemen prompted Defense Minister Seyran Ohanian told hold an emergency meeting in Yerevan with Andrzej Kasprzyk, the chief OSCE official monitoring the ceasefire regime in the Karabakh conflict zone.

      According to Hovannisian, Ohanian asked Kasprzyk to help ease tensions on the frontlines. The minister warned that “the situation is fraught with very severe consequences for Azerbaijan,” Hovannisian told RFE/RL’s Armenian service (Azatutyun.am).

      The shootings around Nakhichevan followed an upsurge in fighting at a section of the Karabakh frontline adjacent to Iran. One Armenian and two Azerbaijani soldiers were killed there last week in what the Karabakh Armenian army described as a failed Azerbaijani commando attack. The Azerbaijani military said that Armenian forces themselves attacked its frontline positions in the area southeast of Karabakh.

      The Nakhichevan incidents led official Yerevan to accuse Baku on Friday of torpedoing the latest international efforts to kick-start the Karabakh peace process. Deputy Foreign Minister Shavarsh Kocharian claimed that Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev is specifically trying to scuttle a fresh meeting with his Armenian counterpart Serzh Sarkisian, which is sought by the U.S., Russian and French mediators.

      “The mediators are intent on trying to end this stalemate,” Kocharian told RFE/RL’s Armenian service (Azatutyun.am). “This is at odds with Azerbaijan’s actions.” “They are doing everything to prevent a step forward in the negotiation process,” he said.

      Comment


      • Re: Regional geopolitics

        This article is spot on!

        Originally posted by Hakob View Post
        EU lost its foreign policy sovereignty to US – Marine Le Pen to RT
        Published time: June 07, 2014 03:05
        French National Front (FN) president Marine Le Pen (AFP Photo / Fred Dufour
        The EU has lost control of its foreign policy to Washington, France's National Front leader Marine Le Pen told RT, calling the bloc's diplomacy a “catastrophe” in which no independent voice of reason could be heard.

        “The European Union's diplomacy is a catastrophe,” Le Pen told RT's Sophie Shevardnadze in an exclusive interview to be broadcast Monday. “The EU speaks out on foreign affairs either to create problems, or to make them worse.”

        Where Ukraine is concerned, Le Pen believes that Europe had no right to blackmail the country into breaking up its historical and cultural ties to Russia.

        “When offering a partnership agreement to Ukraine – which would mean breaking off of its allied relations with Russia – the EU has clearly set blackmail in motion. And that can't help but fuel dissent inside the country,” Le Pen told RT, adding that “pouring oil onto the fire” could lead to an increasing risk of a civil war.

        “The EU has been doing nothing but making the situation worse using threats, blackmail and sanctions, which, as we can see now, clearly do not encourage anyone to sit at the negotiation table in order to come up with a peaceful and reasonable solution to the conflict.”

        As Le Pen sees it, all of this bluster over Ukraine joining the EU has been for not, as the country is far from having the economic development necessary for integration.

        “Ukraine’s entry into the European Union; no need to tell fairy tales. Ukraine absolutely does not have the economic level to join the EU.”

        Le Pen says she is personally opposed to any expansion of the EU, and would not wish the bloc’s troubles on a country as economically deprived as Ukraine.

        “I am sympathetic to Ukrainians, and therefore wouldn’t wish to invite friends to this table of nightmares. I myself want to get out of the EU, so I will not say to them: ‘Come on into the EU,’” she said.

        Le Penn, whose National Front party in late May secured a third of France’s seats in the European Parliamentary elections, says the EU's foreign policy has been badly misguided by the United States – Syria and Libya being just some of the most recent examples.

        “We've made a great deal of foreign policy mistakes under Washington's influence, but the worst of them is Syria,” Le Penn said.

        There are “no independent states left in Europe” that would call for peaceful solutions to conflicts, the National Front leader says.

        “We [National Front] have been the only party to stand against the option of intervening in Syria. When the crisis first started, we said France is supplying arms to jihadists, who would spread terror if they win. That's what already happened in Libya.”

        “That's the way the US acts in the international arena. But what is even more horrible, is that one can't hear the voices of European countries,” Le Pen added.
        Hayastan or Bust.

        Comment


        • Re: Regional geopolitics

          8 June 2014
          BBC
          Bulgaria halts work on gas pipeline after US talks


          Bulgaria is to halt work on its Russian-backed South Stream gas pipeline following criticism from the EU and US.

          Prime Minister Plamen Oresharski announced that he had "ordered all work to be stopped".

          "We will decide on further developments following consultations with Brussels," he said after meeting with US senators.

          The Gazprom-financed pipeline would ship gas to western Europe via the Balkans, thus avoiding Ukraine.

          The European Commission had sent Bulgarian authorities a letter at the start of the month, asking them to suspend work on the project.

          The EC claimed Bulgaria may have broken EU public procurement laws by choosing local and Russian bidders.

          Bulgaria has previously said it is being targeted by Brussels as a means of retaliating against Russia over the situation in Ukraine.

          If built, the pipeline would deliver 63 billion cubic meters of natural gas a year, via Bulgaria, Serbia, Hungary and Slovenia before entering Italy.

          Construction work on the pipeline began in Bulgaria in October 2013.

          Comment


          • Re: Regional geopolitics

            Իրանը հայտարարել է ԱՄՆ-ի հետ ուղիղ բանակցություններ անցկացնելու մասին
            08.06.14


            ԱՄՆ-ն հաջորդ շաբաթ վերջին մի քանի տասնամյակում առաջին անգամ ուղիղ բանակցություններ կվարեն Թեհրանի միջուկային ծրագրերի վերաբերյալ։ Ինչպես տեղեկացնում է Lenta.ru-ն` IRNA գործակալության հղումով, այդ մասին տեղեկությունը հաստատել է Իրանի փոխարտգործնախարար Աբբաս Արաքչին։

            Արաքչիի խոսքերով՝ իրանական պատվիրակությունը, որը կգլխավորի ինքը, հունիսի 9-10-ին Ժնևում հանդիպում կունենա ԱՄՆ դիվանագետների հետ։

            ԱՄՆ պատվիրակությունը կգլխավորի պետքարտուղարի տեղակալ, Մոսկվայում ԱՄՆ նախկին դեսպան Ուիլյամ Բերնսը։ Մինչև հունիսի 16-ին կայանալիք «միջնորդ վեցյակի» հետ հանդիպումը Թեհրանի ներկայացուցիչները կբանակցեն նաև ռուսական կողմի հետ։

            France Presse գործակալությունը իրանա-ամերիկյան այդ բանակցություններն «աննախադեպ քայլ» է որակում՝ Թեհրանի և Արևմուտքի միջև կնքվելիք լայնամասշտաբ համաձայնագրին ընդառաջ։

            Լուրեր Հայաստանից - Թերթ.am

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            • Re: Regional geopolitics

              Originally posted by Vrej1915 View Post
              8 June 2014
              BBC
              Bulgaria halts work on gas pipeline after US talks


              Bulgaria is to halt work on its Russian-backed South Stream gas pipeline following criticism from the EU and US.

              Prime Minister Plamen Oresharski announced that he had "ordered all work to be stopped".

              "We will decide on further developments following consultations with Brussels," he said after meeting with US senators.

              The Gazprom-financed pipeline would ship gas to western Europe via the Balkans, thus avoiding Ukraine.

              The European Commission had sent Bulgarian authorities a letter at the start of the month, asking them to suspend work on the project.

              The EC claimed Bulgaria may have broken EU public procurement laws by choosing local and Russian bidders.

              Bulgaria has previously said it is being targeted by Brussels as a means of retaliating against Russia over the situation in Ukraine.

              If built, the pipeline would deliver 63 billion cubic meters of natural gas a year, via Bulgaria, Serbia, Hungary and Slovenia before entering Italy.

              Construction work on the pipeline began in Bulgaria in October 2013.
              There you go. Thanks for posting this vrej. THis shows how much suvereinity EU membership leaves for small countries.
              Since Bulgaria is suffering acute energy shortages and 7 fold price increase in energy since joining EU and shutting down it's nucklear station, this gas pipeline was a god sent for Bulgarians in cheap getting cheap gas and transit fees.
              This shows that not only EEU, but also EU is limiting a countrie's independent decision making for it's own good.
              Both EU and Eurasian Economic Union are going to controll countries participating.
              The policies in Europe are dictated by US and IMF. They are not for the benefit of Europeans, and more and more people realise that in Europe. This policies are about world hegemony and financial control.

              Comment


              • Re: Regional geopolitics

                Originally posted by Hakob View Post
                There you go. Thanks for posting this vrej. THis shows how much suvereinity EU membership leaves for small countries.
                Since Bulgaria is suffering acute energy shortages and 7 fold price increase in energy since joining EU and shutting down it's nucklear station, this gas pipeline was a god sent for Bulgarians in cheap getting cheap gas and transit fees.
                This shows that not only EEU, but also EU is limiting a countrie's independent decision making for it's own good.
                Both EU and Eurasian Economic Union are going to controll countries participating.
                The policies in Europe are dictated by US and IMF. They are not for the benefit of Europeans, and more and more people realise that in Europe. This policies are about world hegemony and financial control.
                Of course.
                Who said the contrary?
                There is yet a small difference.
                Russia limits the sovereignty by blunt military blackmail, and anhilates the economy of its vassals, the EU compensates by sending in billions of euros of subventions......, part vanishes in the pockets of the regime, yet a seizable part goes in the modernization of the infrastructures of the given member.
                One just needs to compare state of the infrastructure in Bulgaria now, compared to what was 10 years ago.
                Most factories now paying the salaries of Bulgarians are German or French owned, yet they are direct investments...
                In Armenia, not a single russian investment did create a new job in the last decade......, only bla, bla.

                Concerning the Atomic energy, you are damn right.
                Yet Bulgaria has much more resources, and possibilities to import, than us, where Metzamor is a vital necessity.
                For Bulgaria, it was only an economic matter, and the Bulgarians did not want to invest in a new reactor.
                If they ever did, french Areva or german Siemens are ready at any time.
                The closure of their Tchernobyl era reactor was a matter of security for the EU, a luxury they could afford to compensate, and they did.
                I wish, we could do the same, get rid of the soviet model, for a brand new french or japaneese reactor, the best available in security matters...

                Yet it is thanks to russian policy, that our Metsamor will not be replaced, any way, not on time any more.
                Russia`s dirty game, by the blind complicity of our actual `president/ruler`, managed to neutralise any option..... at least for any times soon.
                Yet Russia builds much more lucrative ones in Turkey, `with the express promise, to sabotage any new Armenian NPP`.....

                So, if you look at it honestly, there are differences in the style, and the content of both policies.
                Last edited by Vrej1915; 06-08-2014, 10:45 AM.

                Comment


                • Re: Regional geopolitics

                  Originally posted by Vrej1915 View Post
                  8 June 2014
                  BBC
                  Bulgaria halts work on gas pipeline after US talks


                  Bulgaria is to halt work on its Russian-backed South Stream gas pipeline following criticism from the EU and US.

                  Prime Minister Plamen Oresharski announced that he had "ordered all work to be stopped".

                  "We will decide on further developments following consultations with Brussels," he said after meeting with US senators.

                  The Gazprom-financed pipeline would ship gas to western Europe via the Balkans, thus avoiding Ukraine.

                  The European Commission had sent Bulgarian authorities a letter at the start of the month, asking them to suspend work on the project.

                  The EC claimed Bulgaria may have broken EU public procurement laws by choosing local and Russian bidders.

                  Bulgaria has previously said it is being targeted by Brussels as a means of retaliating against Russia over the situation in Ukraine.

                  If built, the pipeline would deliver 63 billion cubic meters of natural gas a year, via Bulgaria, Serbia, Hungary and Slovenia before entering Italy.

                  Construction work on the pipeline began in Bulgaria in October 2013.
                  Yet,
                  frankly speaking, I do not see the necessity, for Russia, to built the ST according pre-Khrim plans.
                  The only advantage would be, avoiding to pay new studies, new files and and Ok-s from different states....which is not much, when it comes to the financial benefits, of changing the plan all together.
                  If they do so, they will shift turkish EEZ, thus will not pay billions of commission for nothing to Turkey, and probably not use anymore Bulgaria as a terminus to their pipe on shore from Khrim, rather Romania.
                  No need to mention, the huge cost effectiveness of a short shallow water pipe from Khrim to Romania, compared to deep-sea, long and hard to built line from Northern Kavkaz to Bulgaria....
                  So I`m not sure, Bulgaria really looses anything.
                  I bet, they are out of the plan already, and try to get most benefit from EU as compensation, for their `sacrifice`.
                  I will really not be surprised.
                  Last edited by Vrej1915; 06-08-2014, 10:38 AM.

                  Comment


                  • Re: Regional geopolitics

                    "So, if you look at it honestly, there are differences in the style, and the content of both policies."
                    Yes there are differences indeed! The difference is the West will destroy Armenia while Russia will protect it. You think Bulgaria was given a choice or an ultimatum? You think the west will hesitate even a second to give all of Armenia to the Turck in exchange for o say anything like not joining the ECU? Honestly think about it - which saide is going to make sure Armenia stays around? To whom is Armenia more important?
                    Hayastan or Bust.

                    Comment


                    • Re: Regional geopolitics

                      Originally posted by Haykakan View Post
                      "So, if you look at it honestly, there are differences in the style, and the content of both policies."
                      Yes there are differences indeed! The difference is the West will destroy Armenia while Russia will protect it. You think Bulgaria was given a choice or an ultimatum? You think the west will hesitate even a second to give all of Armenia to the Turck in exchange for o say anything like not joining the ECU? Honestly think about it - which saide is going to make sure Armenia stays around? To whom is Armenia more important?

                      Ay mart, intch lezvov assem???

                      Yess kez asselu pan tchunem, intz mi nchi, votch el khossi.
                      Gartatzadzet enhanrabess tchess hasganum, el ur mnatz verludzess....
                      Im hed kordz tchuness.

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