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U.s.-turkey-azerbaijan: A Strategic Partnership

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  • U.s.-turkey-azerbaijan: A Strategic Partnership

    U.S.-TURKEY-AZERBAIJAN: A STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP


    US Department of State, DC
    Dec 10 2007

    Daniel Fried, Assistant Secretary European and Eurasian Affairs
    Remarks to the Center for Eurasian Policy conference on "The
    Azerbaijan-Turkey-U.S. Relations and Its importance for Eurasia"
    Mayflower Hotel, Washington, DC
    December 10, 2007

    As delivered

    Assistant Secretary Fried: Thank you for your remarks, and it's a
    pleasure to see you.

    I am told that the name Azerbaijan comes from old Persian for "the land
    of fire." The reference is supposedly to Azerbaijan's famous petroleum
    deposits. So the link between the nation and energy captures the way
    many look at Azerbaijan. But there's another theory, that the name
    Azerbaijan refers to bonfires lit by the Zoroastrian high priests
    of the ancient country. I actually prefer that theory of the name
    Azerbaijan because it roots the nation in ancient culture and it is
    culture, not resources, that make civilizations.

    Nations need resources, but traditions and values are deeper
    ingredients of successful nationhood, and America looks at Azerbaijan
    in the deeper sense.

    The United States and Europe are, of course, large consumers of
    foreign energy, and we're interested in free and open markets for all
    commodities, especially strategic ones, and I will speak to that. But
    U.S. interests in partnership with Azerbaijan are broader. We have
    a stake in the spread of the rule of law and democracy over time
    and the stability that results from their consolidation and an open
    trading system. And our relations with Turkey are similarly broad.

    The three of us here -- Azerbaijan, Turkey and the United States --
    can form a strategic partnership that will benefit us all and in turn
    benefit the wider region.

    Turkey's example as a secular democracy with a Muslim majority
    population can inspire reformers in the Caucasus, Central Asia,
    and the broader Middle East who seek the same political freedoms,
    prosperity, and stability that Turkish citizens increasingly enjoy.

    America's grand strategy for post-Communist Europe since 1989 has
    rested on a deceptively simple principle: America's interests are
    best served when the countries which liberate themselves from Soviet
    control are free and empowered to fulfill their own destiny by pursuing
    their own reforms.

    The United States does not view the countries in the South Caucasus
    and Central Asia instrumentally. Rather, we are convinced that
    Azerbaijan's success as a nation -- free and at peace at home, at
    peace in its region -- is in itself in our long-term interest.

    I'd like to make three points to illustrate how we apply
    this overall approach to Azerbaijan in particular, and what
    Turkish-Azerbaijani-U.S. strategic partnership means in practice.

    First, by succeeding as a democracy over time and building modern
    national institutions, again over time, Azerbaijan can be a stronger
    nation and more important strategic partner.

    The second point concerns Turkish-Azerbaijani-U.S. energy
    partnership. Through this partnership, we hope Azerbaijan can find
    the resources for building its state at home and peace and security
    in its region, and through energy partnerships, the region will have
    a stronger physical link to the outside world.

    The third point is the overall strategic impact that we hope
    U.S.-Turkish-Azerbaijani cooperation will have on the wider region
    which stretches from the Black Sea to China.

    Azerbaijan's Democracy and Nationhood

    Now let us acknowledge and frankly applaud what Azerbaijan has
    been achieving since regaining its independence in 1991. It managed
    the immediate post-Soviet transition successfully under very tough
    circumstances. It stabilized itself and developed cooperative relations
    with Russia. Today Azerbaijan is helping Iraqis and Afghans retain
    their freedom, in partnerships with the United States and NATO.

    Nagorno-Karabakh remains an unresolved and dangerous problem. But even
    given this, we should affirm that President Haydar Aliyev achieved a
    great deal in successfully creating a viable and sovereign state. The
    question now is what kind of a state Azerbaijan will become, and that
    question is not yet answered.

    Will Azerbaijan continue the successful path of national development?

    It can do so only if it creates 21st Century institutions essential for
    a modern state, including an independent legislature; an independent
    banking system; an impartial judiciary free of political control;
    independent functioning markets; an independent media; and more. This
    is the challenge for President Ilham Aliyev.

    Notice my use of the word independent. Checks and balances are
    necessary if a government is going to correct its course, as
    all governments must. And checks and balances only function when
    institutions act without fear of retribution. Freedom in this sense
    is not a luxury one looks to achieve as an afterthought. Democracy
    is not simply the holding of elections.

    The 21st Century faces many challenges -- terrorism and ideological
    radicalization; the proliferation of unconventional weapons; and weak
    and corrupt governance among them. The response to these challenges
    will be found in the rule of law, through governments that rule justly
    and accountably, through free markets and the institutions that keep
    them honest.

    And Azerbaijan's achievements in this context are still there. The
    opposition has been marginalized and while I know there are outstanding
    individuals in government, one with us today, the legislature needs
    to play its role through governing the country and not simply be in
    transition mode. Courts too, need to function as courts. And we are
    disturbed by the continued and recently growing pressure on the media,
    including arrests of journalists and editors.

    I was dismayed to learn of the arrest of Mr. Nasibov, the RFE/RL
    correspondent in Azerbaijan late last week under charges of "criminal
    libel." Now I understand that the Nakhichivan prosecutor has dropped
    the most severe charges; if that's true, I welcome it. But I also
    understand that Mr. Nasibov has been given a year's probation for what
    appears to be no more than doing his job. And his arrest follows the
    disturbing pattern of pressure on independent journalists. I hope that
    this pattern has not marked a major deterioration of media freedom
    in Azerbaijan. This would not be good news for Azerbaijan, primarily,
    and therefore not good news for the United States.

    Now we all witnessed the difficulties Georgia encountered when it
    closed the major television station, now reopening. Our message to
    our Georgian friends was the same as my message now: If media are not
    free, neither is the nation. Strong countries have free media. The
    media has a responsibility to maintain professional standards, but
    arrests are not the way to develop these.

    Now these blunt words may not meet with an enthusiastic reaction from
    some. But they're not intended to elicit one. Let me add, though,
    that America is far from perfect, and we do not hold ourselves above
    criticism. Neither does Azerbaijan need to hold the United States as
    the sole available model. There are other examples. Turkey is itself
    deepening its democracy and gradually developing the practices and
    institutions of a secular democracy with a Muslim majority population
    and a deeply religious culture beyond politics.

    Turkish democracy has faced setbacks in the past and faced a test
    this past spring and summer. There is no doubt that the main trend
    in Turkey over the past generation has been profoundly democratic,
    and this year Turkish democracy demonstrated its strength through
    the last election. It provided a fair chance for the nation's will
    to make itself known and respected.

    Azerbaijan could follow Turkey's example, even as Turkey conducts
    its own debates about improving journalistic freedoms and eliminating
    taboos that have no place in a confident, modern nation.

    Strong nations do not arrest their journalists and silence their
    critics.

    Azerbaijan might consider the U.S.-Turkish relations are based
    on shared values as much as shared interests. By succeeding as a
    democracy, Azerbaijan can similarly elevate its strategic importance
    as Turkey has done.

    Now this process, to be realistic, will take time. And both Minister
    Cetin and Ambassador Sensoy made this point, and they are right. If
    Azerbaijan over time opens itself up, deepens its modern institutions,
    opens its economy, the rest of its democracy will follow, and its
    independence and sovereignty will have stronger foundations as will
    our partnership.

  • #2
    Re: U.s.-turkey-azerbaijan: A Strategic Partnership

    Energy Partnership

    The longer term impact of energy development will also be a factor
    in Azerbaijan's success in developing independent institutions.

    Azerbaijan needs to make its oil and gas deposits a blessing
    in national assets, not a source of fast wealth and longer term
    instability. We all know of petro-dictatorships around the world.

    Theories why also abound, and they usually revolve around how oil and
    gas revenues free leaders from checks and balances. Sudden wealth
    unchecked by strong, honest institutions to handle it can fatten a
    small group of well-placed persons rather than strengthen a nation.

    In such cases, massive amounts of energy money leads to corruption and
    mis-governance, economic distortion, and, ultimately, political and
    social instability. The answer lies in transparent institutions and
    open markets, independent of monopolies and the distortions they bring.

    Azerbaijan has taken some of the right steps already. In 1994,
    President Haydar Aliyev made a bold decision to open Azerbaijan's
    energy sector in the Caspian Sea to international investors. This
    opening coupled with the Baku Supsa and Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil
    pipelines, and the Baku-Tbilisi-Erzurum gas pipeline aim to cement
    Azerbaijan's place in Europe and closer cooperation with Turkey and
    the United States.

    This vision was then shared and amplified by then President Demirel
    working with President Aliyev, Azerbaijani Energy Minister Aliyev,
    Azerbaijani Vice Speaker Aleskherov, and Turkish Energy Minister
    Guler. These plans have gone forward to establish a new generation of
    energy infrastructure in the Southern Corridor that will help Europe
    diversify its energy supplies by relying on Azerbaijani, and Caspian
    energy more generally eventually, delivered via Turkey. It's hardly
    surprising that many of these outstanding leaders are either here or
    addressing the conference by video.

    I also want to note the success of the Stable Oil Fund of Azerbaijan.

    The establishment and functioning of this fund shows that Azerbaijan's
    leadership is aware of and beginning to address the pitfalls of the
    oil trend.

    Azerbaijan has a strategic importance as an alternative supplier of
    natural gas to Europe. It is emerging as a giant producers of natural
    gas, in addition to the oil that fills the BTC pipeline. Azerbaijan's
    gas reserves should be sufficient to launch, and perhaps complete,
    a new generation of natural gas pipelines that will link Southern and
    Central Europe with the Caspian Basin via Turkey, providing several of
    our European allies with viable alternatives to a monopoly transport
    system and closed investment climate that would otherwise be the case.

    The opening of energy development and energy closed, monopolistic
    transport systems will tend to reduce corruption, if matched by the
    development of institutions to see to it that energy wealth benefits
    the nation. Among them independent, well regulated, unpoliticized
    banks and accountability for energy resources.

    Azerbaijan's successful development at home and support for open energy
    markets should go hand-in-hand with successful U.S.-Turkish-Azerbaijani
    strategic cooperation directed at the surrounding region.

    We three countries at this conference know that our tripartite
    relationship is a major strategic factor for this region. Turkey
    is an old friend and ally of ours and we have been through many
    a crisis together. Our friendship transcends state-to-state and
    government-to-government levels and includes individuals. I have
    friends at this conference and they have a friend in me. And I will
    say in this context how pleased I am that our cooperation against
    the PKK terrorist organization is in action and is yielding now
    concrete results.

    U.S.-Turkey-Azerbaijan Cooperation in the Region

    But aside from these interests, we three countries can do a lot
    together externally, impacting not just the South Caucasus but also
    the vast land that stretches on the other side of the Caspian.

    The title of this conference, "The Azerbaijan-Turkey-U.S.

    Relationship and its Importance in Eurasia" is apt. The three of
    us need to do all we can to help this region expand its strategic
    horizons and its political and economic freedoms. Achieving this
    would raise our tripartite relationship to a higher strategic level.

    What we face is as critical a strategic challenge as the United
    States faced in 1989 and in the early years of the '90s when people
    like Steve Larrabee and Ron Asmus charted the strategic way forward
    into what was then the frontiers of freedom in Eastern Europe. Those
    frontiers are further east and more complicated, but the strategic
    challenge of finding the right tools to unlock this area and open it
    are as important now as they were then.

    The South Caucasus and Central Asia emerged from the Soviet Union,
    but have yet to find their place in the wider world. Turkey and
    Azerbaijan if it goes in the right direction can lead these countries
    to a destination of peace and prosperity, and I agree with Ambassador
    Sensoy about Turkey's soft power. We want Central Asia open to and
    engaged with the world as a subject in its own right, not as an object.

    In saying this, let me add that the United States does not regard
    itself in a zero sum game against any other country.

    And to be blunt and specific about this, Russia will be a major
    factor in this region. And it's neither wise nor possible for the
    United States to pit itself against Russia as an objective of our
    policy. Rather in our vision of an open region, there's room for
    all nations to develop relations in Central Asia and South Caucasus
    based on respect for sovereignty as this region finds its own way in
    the world in its new independence. The United States will defend and
    advance this vision most vigorously.

    One huge benefit for the region and a huge achievement for the
    U.S.-Azerbaijani-Turkish partnership, a physical and economic
    manifestation of the wider region's strategic connection to the
    West through redevelopment of the southern Corridor to Europe for
    natural gas involving the Caspian literally. This will involve the
    U.S., Azerbaijan, and Turkey working together to attract gas from
    Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan. The result will be a far stronger basis
    for long term strategic openness for that region and its connection
    to the wider world.

    Our partnership can have a tremendous impact beyond the former Soviet
    Empire, as well. A democratic redevelopment, an increasingly prosperous
    and stable Azerbaijan will provide an example to inspire reformers
    in Iran. Seventeen million ethnic Azeris comprise a quarter of that
    country's population.

    In order for this vision, an important one, to materialize, Azerbaijan
    needs to enact the political reforms I referred to. It will also need
    to resolve its outstanding issue with Armenia. The South Caucasus
    cannot achieve its full potential in the absence of a Nagorno-Karabakh
    settlement. As long as Armenia remains isolated in this region, a
    common vision of prosperity and freedom, and therefore stability,
    will not be attainable. I hope we can wrap up an agreement on the
    basic principles of a Nagorno-Karabakh settlement.

    Azerbaijan's success will be as critical for Central Asia as was
    Poland's success 15 years ago to Central Europe. To succeed, Azerbaijan
    will have to deepen its institutions as a secular democracy and ensure
    transparency in its energy markets. And as Azerbaijanis perform in
    these areas, our partnership can help shape the strategic evolution
    of this vast region.

    Azerbaijan's future will be as bright as this country makes it. And
    Turkey, given its geographic position and NATO membership, is a
    natural gateway for Azerbaijan to the Euro-Atlantic family. Just as
    Turkey is deepening its democratic reforms to sustain its EU accession
    ambitions, so must Azerbaijan advance its reforms to bolster its ties
    with Euro-Atlantic institutions.

    So those bright lights that caught the eyes of ancient Persians
    should not die down. Thank you very much for your attention and for
    organizing this conference.

    [Applause].

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