Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

[Federate]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

This thread is going to be over 9000 on September 21, 2011.
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Yerevan set to host military parade

Yerevan will host a military parade on September 21, on the 20th anniversary of the Republic of Armenia Independence, Defense Minister Seyran Ohanyan said at the opening of a concert dedicated to the 19th anniversary of the Armenian Army. He stressed that only victorious armies have the right to hold military parades, and the Armenian army has already proved its efficiency.

The Minister noted that these festivities launch the series of events dedicated to the 20th anniversary of the Republic of Armenia Independence to wrap up with a festive event dedicated to the 20th anniversary of the Armenian Army in 2012. Armenia will also mark the 125th anniversary of Garegin Nzhdeh this year, according to S. Ohanyan.

http://www.aysor.am/en/news/2011/01/28/seyran-ohanyan-army2/

[ArmeniaR1]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

This thread is going to be over 9000 on September 21, 2011.
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Yerevan will host a military parade on September 21, on the 20th anniversary of the Republic of Armenia Independence, Defense Minister Seyran Ohanyan said at the opening of a concert dedicated to the 19th anniversary of the Armenian Army. He stressed that only victorious armies have the right to hold military parades, and the Armenian army has already proved its efficiency.


http://www.aysor.am/en/news/2011/01/...ohanyan-army2/

Very true...

We will see some great weapons on sept 21!

[Joseph]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

Ignoring the usual blabber about 20% occupied blabla, this is a pretty good analysis of the Azerbaijani side of the conflict. It makes some interesting claims such as oil reserves depleting from 2011 and finally ending in 2019. Also claims 3 million out of the 9 million Azerbaijanis actually live and work abroad. It also seems to be written by either an Azeri or an Iranian (which could also be an Azari).
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http://hir.harvard.edu/azerbaijans-c...flict?page=0,0

Besides some Azeri propaganda as you stated above, the article was spot one. I enjoyed the conclusion: "Due to its impending economic and strategic insignificance to the West, Azerbaijan needs to become more realistic in its claim to Nagorno-Karabakh as its ability to persuade the great powers is set to wane synchronously with the depletion of oil reserves in 2011-2019."

[ninetoyadome]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

Yegparian: What’s the Blustering Bully Bothered By?
By: Garen Yegparian

Last week we had the pleasure of addressing the “thoughts” of a representative of an Azerbaijani group in the U.S. He’d felt the need to attack me because I “dared” to find fault with MY government’s (you know, the people that I help elect to REPRESENT ME) policies regarding Azerbaijan and Turkey, and to correspondingly fault a colleague of that representative.

Then we have an interview with Elnur Aslanov, Chief of the Political Analysis and Information Department at the Azerbaijani Presidential Administration, from News.Az titled “Information war against Armenia ‘involves every Azerbaijani.’” Therein, we are treated to the usual muddle of distortions, half-truths, and creative history that Azerbaijani sources are noted for, easily matching their big brothers in Turkey—absurdity-wise. From this piece we “learn” that the high-priced, oil-money-paid-for, propaganda onslaught is allegedly making inroads in dispelling Armenian “lies.” The topics are Khojaluh, characterization of the Artsakh situation, and even President Sarkisian’s recently rediscovered backbone in dealing with Azerbaijan and Turkey. I won’t even bore you with, nor lend credibility to, some of the statements passed off as “facts” in this piece. It’s tough not to laugh and gag simultaneously.

Of course we mustn’t forget about President Aliyev’s incessant, and, in the last couple of years more frequent and strident bellicose bombast about re-stealing Artsakh. Coupled with this is the obscene amount of money he spends in oil treasure building up Azerbaijan’s armaments instead of building up the country’s infrastructure, developing the economy, and helping its impoverished majority. I suspect the main reason for the Baku-Tbilisi-Kars Railway, a meeting about which was reported in the January 24 Asbarez, is really to create an easier way to ship arms from Turkey to Baku, be that legally or otherwise.

None of this is new in substance. But the intensity, frequency, and shrillness are suggestive. It’s been nagging at me, without my even being too aware of the oddity of the situation. Last week, I received a very interesting article published by the Harvard International Review, “Azerbaijan’s Chances in the Karabakh Conflict” authored by Alec Rasizade. I think I know why Azerbaijan, its government, and minions throughout the world are so restive and aggressive of late.

After a quick summary of the conflict in Artsakh, Rasizade describes Azerbaijan’s oil and gas production, history, and reserves. It seems the reserves, for both oil and natural gas are inflated. In the case of oil, after almost two decades of production, and no major new discoveries, the reserves claimed by Azerbaijan reflect a decrease of only one year’s worth of production. Perhaps this is Azerbaijan’s version of new math. For gas, Azerbaijan’s reserves, whether inflated or not, are described as insignificant. The country’s era of “big oil” production is expected to peak this year, and be over by decade’s end. The way profits from current production are misused, i.e. no alternative economic development and misgovernment, may well lead to instability with the coming end of the oil money gusher. In conclusion, Rasizade says the Armenian Diaspora is balancing Azerbaijan’s oil money (and the relevance to the West oil begets).

So there’s our answer. Baku and its front groups worldwide are desperate to steal back Artzakh before they become irrelevant to the rest of the world. They have a very small window of opportunity.

So it’s up to us, the Diaspora, to keep Azerbaijan wasting its money and getting nowhere. Meanwhile we also must support and strengthen our two republics so they can withstand the increasing onslaught, verbal for now, but perhaps military in the future. How do we do this? We support and criticize, help and correct, applaud and condemn, all as appropriate. No one is perfect, and to pretend otherwise and avoid applying friendly pressure when our compatriots are on the wrong track serves only the bully to the east of our homeland. Let’s rise to that occasion by redoubling our efforts in the political and media spheres.

[londontsi]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

... Azerbaijan 2011 defence budget 4.5 billion USD. ....

Azerbaijan keeps saying this because they do not have anything else to say or anything else to show.



.

[levon]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

Pathetic, continue to dream. Azerbaijan oil reserves will deplet bla bla bla LOL.

Azerbaijan 2011 defence budget 4.5 billion USD. Armenian defence budget 300-400 million USD.

Azerbaijan's oil reserves really don't matter. The fact is, the west has a very large investment in Azeri oil. War will destabilize oil production and significantly reduce oil revenues, which equals massive losses for the companies that hold interest in azeri oil. This will translate into double digit stock price decreases, which will translate into a large amount of western heat towards azerbaijan with the aim of stopping the hostilities. So as long as the Azeris have oil, chances are they won't start a war. Now if the oil reserves are running out, then Azeris won't have the ability to do anything after the oil runs out, since their economic infrastructure is completely dependent on oil.

So, my dear azeri kak, no matter how you look at it, you are insignificant to artsakh.

[Qaradag]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

"Due to its impending economic and strategic insignificance to the West"

LOL

"EU, Azerbaijan sign gas deal to bypass Russia"

Jan 13, 2011

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-13/eu-azerbaijan-sign-gas-deal-to-bypass-russia.html

[londontsi]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

"EU, Azerbaijan sign gas deal to bypass Russia"

Jan 13, 2011

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-0...ss-russia.html

This is very true ....... valid until the gas runs out.

[Joseph]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

Actually, the article was very clear. The oil and gas is running out. BP is already divesting itself from Azerbaijan. The Russians are regaining control of Central Asia and will eventually control pipelines into Europe. If Armenia is such a mountain xxxxhole you should say goodbye to Artsakh.

[londontsi]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

"EU, Azerbaijan sign gas deal to bypass Russia"


This is very true ....... valid until the gas runs out.

OR

Azerbaijan starts a war.