Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan
My impression from reading the international, Armenian, Azeri, etc media is that everyone is xxxxting a brick that the conflict will escalate-except for the Armenians (who are now probably itching for fight- though wary of bloodshed and loss of life- eager to put a hurt on the Azeris and possibly deal a final blow). The US, EU, NATO, Turks, etc think the Azeris will lose more territory judging by their mood, the conflict will lead to a wider war with many players, oil flow will be disrupted and the Aliyev regime may fall which will lead to chaos in Baku which is bad I suppose for the oil companies, US efforts against Iran, etc. The Azeris misjudged the situation and the outcome entirely. Add this to the list of reasons (In addition to events in September 2008) that the Azeris are all bark and no bite when it comes to full-scale war. That being stated, the Armenians should stop playing nice and snipe away. The Azeris have been doing this for years, its time for Armenia to counter. Armenia should continue to reinforce its borders and build its missile strike capabilities. The Azeris have even alienated the Armenians even more (if that is even possible) towards any type of compromise full-stop.
My impression from reading the international, Armenian, Azeri, etc media is that everyone is xxxxting a brick that the conflict will escalate-except for the Armenians (who are now probably itching for fight- though wary of bloodshed and loss of life- eager to put a hurt on the Azeris and possibly deal a final blow). The US, EU, NATO, Turks, etc think the Azeris will lose more territory judging by their mood, the conflict will lead to a wider war with many players, oil flow will be disrupted and the Aliyev regime may fall which will lead to chaos in Baku which is bad I suppose for the oil companies, US efforts against Iran, etc. The Azeris misjudged the situation and the outcome entirely. Add this to the list of reasons (In addition to events in September 2008) that the Azeris are all bark and no bite when it comes to full-scale war. That being stated, the Armenians should stop playing nice and snipe away. The Azeris have been doing this for years, its time for Armenia to counter. Armenia should continue to reinforce its borders and build its missile strike capabilities. The Azeris have even alienated the Armenians even more (if that is even possible) towards any type of compromise full-stop.
Comment