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Re: Is Russia an ally or foe, nowadays?
Russia can’t digest Ukraine’s association with EU and as a “retribution” Putin forced the weak leader of Armenia to join the corrupt Russian “Union”, after threatening us with his visit to Azerbaijan and the new weapon sales contracts. Although Armenia's joining the " economic Union of the corrupt countries" is not important for Russia, because of our economy small size and lack of mutual borders . The Russian game; “fight” for its superpower position is lost. Now Russia has no influence on Ukraine and as an object of revenge selected Armenia. This indicates that Russia has no vision for its future politics and just drifts in the ocean of international affairs.
And eventually loosing its last ally-Syria will make their situation just disastrous. Note please that in recent decade countries that the “Superpower” wins/fights with are Georgia and Armenia and the third one, it collaborates with, is Azerbaijan. And all the listed above MAJOR countries recognize Russia a superpower, except Azerbaijan; they are partners. The other partner is Turkey; Syria’s most vicious enemy; for Russia the proverb - “my ally’s enemy; is my enemy" doesn’t work, therefore no country in the world can rely on nowadays Russia word of honor, Russia lost its credibility for centuries.
After Ukraine’s actual association with EU Russia’s weak economic position will become disastrous and during one or two years the only thing that will remind its superpower position would be the nuclear weapons that are useless nowadays. It can't afford for future development of its other; USSR heritage arms, note please that Armenians contributed in it a lot, now they have no means to develop/modernize new arms.
At that point even small Armenia’s support of Russia in international affairs will be very useful for Russia/Putin. And they would become very polite at dealing with Armenia.
In fact this violent act of “international terrorism” will be remembered by Armenian patriots for a long time and it puts additional separation lines between our nations that will have long term negative effect on Russian-Armenian relations.
This is the beginning of the end of Russian overwhelming influence on Armenia.
I think EU deeply understands our situation and they will allow us making next smaller steps of Armenia’s Association with EU, despite of Russian obstacles. EU may even offer confidential security guarantees against Turkey and Russia to insure footstep in Caucasus, that after "resolution" of the Syrian conflict may become very important and the only monoethnic-reliable spot for spreading the Christian Club and USA influence in the region, almost as important, as Israel is for USA in that area.
USA appreciates Israel’s role played in the area with comprehensive security guarantees and economic incentives, but Russia doesn’t recognize/understand that the same role Armenia plays for it; bear doesn’t have enough brain to assess Armenia’s contribution in its geopolitical standing. Therefore it’s high time gradually changing our political orientation (in a secure, confidential manner) and playing the difficult role for the reliable and trustworthy ally/s. I think soon, after Syria's breakdown ... alas, we'll get that offer from EU/USA.
Russia can’t digest Ukraine’s association with EU and as a “retribution” Putin forced the weak leader of Armenia to join the corrupt Russian “Union”, after threatening us with his visit to Azerbaijan and the new weapon sales contracts. Although Armenia's joining the " economic Union of the corrupt countries" is not important for Russia, because of our economy small size and lack of mutual borders . The Russian game; “fight” for its superpower position is lost. Now Russia has no influence on Ukraine and as an object of revenge selected Armenia. This indicates that Russia has no vision for its future politics and just drifts in the ocean of international affairs.
And eventually loosing its last ally-Syria will make their situation just disastrous. Note please that in recent decade countries that the “Superpower” wins/fights with are Georgia and Armenia and the third one, it collaborates with, is Azerbaijan. And all the listed above MAJOR countries recognize Russia a superpower, except Azerbaijan; they are partners. The other partner is Turkey; Syria’s most vicious enemy; for Russia the proverb - “my ally’s enemy; is my enemy" doesn’t work, therefore no country in the world can rely on nowadays Russia word of honor, Russia lost its credibility for centuries.
After Ukraine’s actual association with EU Russia’s weak economic position will become disastrous and during one or two years the only thing that will remind its superpower position would be the nuclear weapons that are useless nowadays. It can't afford for future development of its other; USSR heritage arms, note please that Armenians contributed in it a lot, now they have no means to develop/modernize new arms.
At that point even small Armenia’s support of Russia in international affairs will be very useful for Russia/Putin. And they would become very polite at dealing with Armenia.
In fact this violent act of “international terrorism” will be remembered by Armenian patriots for a long time and it puts additional separation lines between our nations that will have long term negative effect on Russian-Armenian relations.
This is the beginning of the end of Russian overwhelming influence on Armenia.
I think EU deeply understands our situation and they will allow us making next smaller steps of Armenia’s Association with EU, despite of Russian obstacles. EU may even offer confidential security guarantees against Turkey and Russia to insure footstep in Caucasus, that after "resolution" of the Syrian conflict may become very important and the only monoethnic-reliable spot for spreading the Christian Club and USA influence in the region, almost as important, as Israel is for USA in that area.
USA appreciates Israel’s role played in the area with comprehensive security guarantees and economic incentives, but Russia doesn’t recognize/understand that the same role Armenia plays for it; bear doesn’t have enough brain to assess Armenia’s contribution in its geopolitical standing. Therefore it’s high time gradually changing our political orientation (in a secure, confidential manner) and playing the difficult role for the reliable and trustworthy ally/s. I think soon, after Syria's breakdown ... alas, we'll get that offer from EU/USA.
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