Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan
Hey guys, I've been off for a while after all the April mayhem, but I'm really excited to see the massively upgraded military position we now have. I think it's correct to believe this buys us about 5 years of peace in the "mainland" as well as Stepanakert and Shoushi. Hit a major city, and it's mutually assured destruction. It doesn't do anything about the border cities, and you can bet the Israeli-Azeri menace will be working overtime to provide what they will claim are Iskander-defeating technologies (and mark my words, it will be PR fluff, that missile is HARD TO STOP).
Our key at this point will be upgrading our border defenses and local skirmish capabilities. For one, we need a no-fly zone for drones over Artsakh.
The net result will be more years of stalemate, which I suppose is good and bad. An Azeri grunt-rush grab of Artsakh would obviously trigger a devastating war at this point, so it will be more sniping, more 'intelligence raids' and ever-more idiotic meetings between the OSCE countries. Somewhat amusing that after spending so many billions on their military, Azerbaijan is in no tangibly better situation vis-a-vis Nagorno than 20 years ago.
Hey guys, I've been off for a while after all the April mayhem, but I'm really excited to see the massively upgraded military position we now have. I think it's correct to believe this buys us about 5 years of peace in the "mainland" as well as Stepanakert and Shoushi. Hit a major city, and it's mutually assured destruction. It doesn't do anything about the border cities, and you can bet the Israeli-Azeri menace will be working overtime to provide what they will claim are Iskander-defeating technologies (and mark my words, it will be PR fluff, that missile is HARD TO STOP).
Our key at this point will be upgrading our border defenses and local skirmish capabilities. For one, we need a no-fly zone for drones over Artsakh.
The net result will be more years of stalemate, which I suppose is good and bad. An Azeri grunt-rush grab of Artsakh would obviously trigger a devastating war at this point, so it will be more sniping, more 'intelligence raids' and ever-more idiotic meetings between the OSCE countries. Somewhat amusing that after spending so many billions on their military, Azerbaijan is in no tangibly better situation vis-a-vis Nagorno than 20 years ago.
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