Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

[burjuin]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

2017's first soldiers enlisted for military service at the republican staging point

[Azad]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

Holy Shet!!!! Azeris are fked royally!

"DW: Gas, condensate best for Azerbaijan

Short-term production from the BP-led Azerbaijan’s Azeri-Chirag-Gunashli (ACG) project in the Caspian Sea is expected to be flat, and contain gas rather than oil, according to a new analysis from Douglas-Westwood (DW).

ACG project gross liquids production. Source - Douglas-Westwood.
Last month, BP-operated AIOC and Socar signed a letter of intent on the future development of ACG, paving the way for the continued development of the project to 2050, pending a finalized agreement in the coming months.
The giant offshore development, known as the “contract of the century,” began production in 1997 and peaked at 823,000 b/d in 2010. However, production has since fallen to 644,000 b/d in the first nine months of 2016 – well short of the 1 MMb/d third phase production target – due to a faster than anticipated decline at the East & West Azeri fields, despite West Chirag starting up in 2014.
DW’s Matt Adams says that over the short-term, production from ACG is expected to be flat, according to recent communications from BP.
“However, DW expects natural decline to persist post-2017 – despite additional production capacity from new fixed platform installations being likely around the end of the decade. Over the long-term, the success and scope of the December agreement will be essential to maintaining the viability of the project, as well as Azerbaijan’s oil industry as a whole – which has seen limited oil discoveries in recent years,” Adams says. “As it stands, gas and condensate offer the best prospects for growth in the Azeri oil & gas sector.”
BP’s Shah Deniz Phase II is expected online in 2018 and will ramp up over the course of the following three years to 120,000 b/d of condensate and 289,000 boe/d of gas as the Trans Adriatic Pipeline (TAP) comes online in 2021. Further gas and condensate additions will also be seen from Total’s Absheron project, which saw a development agreement signed in November 2016.
“Therefore, in order for the continued prosperity of the Azeri oil sector, significant oil discoveries will need to be made. However, Socar’s geologists have said that unexplored reserves in the Caspian Sea are more likely to contain gas rather than oil,” Adams says. “Consequently, while an extension of the ‘contract of the century’ is a positive move for the country, the future of the Azeri hydrocarbons sector is likely to hinge on gas, not oil.”

http://www.oedigital.com/component/k2/item/14372-dw-gas-condensate-best-for-azerbaijan

[Azad]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

^^^ They are running out of oil faster than anticipated. All they have is gas and shart left.

[londontsi]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

True. A good friend of my was just there in November. In many places on the border of Tavush, the Azeris' have better positions ad can very easily target local villages, roads, troop positions, etc. The Azeri strategy is to keep Tavush from developing, hurt Armenian morale, and keep Armenian forces occupied/create diversions. It's a shame the Armenian gov't has not done more to secure and develop the region, it's fertile, beautiful and very historic.

The answer seems straightforward.
Deprive them of those positions and we will have peace and quiet else ......... more of the same.

The decision is ours, loose 100 soldiers in the next 3-4 years without any change in the situation or
take advantage of a surprise attack, achieve goals with much less casualties.
Peace and quiet thrown in part of the deal.

The issue then will be listening the bullsh.it of the sultan about Armenian agression and percentage of territories lost etc.
We should be able to handle that.

.

[burjuin]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

2017's first soldiers enlisted for military service at the republican staging point

[haydavid]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

The answer seems straightforward.
Deprive them of those positions and we will have peace and quiet else ......... more of the same.

The decision is ours, loose 100 soldiers in the next 3-4 years without any change in the situation or
take advantage of a surprise attack, achieve goals with much less casualties.
Peace and quiet thrown in part of the deal.

The issue then will be listening the bullsh.it of the sultan about Armenian agression and percentage of territories lost etc.
We should be able to handle that.

.

So you really think that if we attack them and take those positions they will not attack back ?
If Armenia does this it is a clear sign of war and internationally Armenia would be at fault for starting it.

[arakeretzig]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

So you really think that if we attack them and take those positions they will not attack back ?
If Armenia does this it is a clear sign of war and internationally Armenia would be at fault for starting it.

That's a loser mentality. If we are not ready to fight then we have already lost. Also, Azerfakistan can wage war anytime and not be held accountable, as the april war showed, and we did basically, squat about it.

[Azad]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

That's a loser mentality. If we are not ready to fight then we have already lost. Also, Azerfakistan can wage war anytime and not be held accountable, as the april war showed, and we did basically, squat about it.

Agree 100%

[haydavid]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

That's a loser mentality. If we are not ready to fight then we have already lost. Also, Azerfakistan can wage war anytime and not be held accountable, as the april war showed, and we did basically, squat about it.

I'm not saying that we should not answer back. We have to for the reasons you said but going offensive and taking lands is one step further.
We don't need a war. Karabakh is ours. There is a risk that we could lose it in a war so why should we start a new one ?
Again , I agree that we should punish them. But there are other ways to punish them than to take land ( =war)

And we could lose support of Russia if we attack first , since Russia doesn't want a war to start.

[burjuin]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

Armenia made small arms