Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

[Suedia]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

What are your opinions on this?

http://www.lragir.am/armsrc/comments53302.html

[Spetsnaz]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan


are these mig-29's ?

[Vrej1915]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

[ATTACH]2328[/ATTACH]
are these mig-29's ?

Yes they are.
Erebuni air base.

[Mher]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

Decline of Azeri Oil Boom
__________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ _________
Azeri oil, gas output falls in Jan-July year/year

Aug 12 (Reuters) - Azerbaijan's production of oil and condensate as well as natural gas fell in January-July 2011, the State Statistics Committee said on Friday.

Oil and condensate production in Azerbaijan in the first seven months of 2011 fell 6.7 percent year-on-year to 27.7 million tonnes. Natural gas output fell 1.9 percent to 15.1 billion cubic metres.

State energy company SOCAR said in June the decline in oil and gas production was linked to a "review of some drilling works in order to strengthen their security".

Production of refined products edged down to 3.64 million tonnes in January-July 2011 from 3.66 million tonnes in the same period last year.

For the full year 2010, Azerbaijan's oil and condensate production edged up 0.9 percent to 50.83 million tonnes from 50.38 million in 2009.

The oil-rich country plans to increase its production to 51.5 million tonnes of oil in 2011.

The former Soviet republic ships its oil via five main routes: Russia's largest Black Sea port of Novorossiisk, neighbouring Georgia's Supsa, Batumi and Kulevi ports, and Turkey's Ceyhan.

Azerbaijan's gas output rose by 11 percent in 2010 year-on-year to 26.2 bcm from 23.6 bcm in 2009.

The country plans to produce between 28.0 bcm and 29.0 bcm of gas this year, including 9.1 bcm from its major Shah Deniz field.

Azerbaijan sells gas to the domestic market and to neighbouring Georgia and Turkey via the Baku-Tbilisi-Erzurum pipeline, as well as to Russia. (Reporting by Lada Yevgrashina; writing by Margarita Antidze in Tbilisi; editing by Anthony Barker)

http://in.reuters.com/article/2011/08/12/azerbaijan-output-energy-idINANT25255820110812

[Mher]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

Azeri GDP growth slows to 1.1 pct Jan-Aug yr/yr

(Reuters) - Economic growth in Azerbaijan slowed to 1.1 percent in January-August 2011 from 3.8 percent over the same period last year, the State Statistics Committee said on Friday.

The committee did not provide a reason for the decline, but analysts have said it may be connected to shrinking oil and gas production due to repair works to some drilling platforms and refineries.

Oil production in Azerbaijan in January-August this year fell 7.1 percent year-on-year to 31.7 million tonnes. Natural gas output fell 2.2 percent to 17.2 billion cubic metres.

In nominal terms, GDP was 30.8 billion manats ($38.5 billion) in the first eight months of 2011 compared to 26.2 billion manats in January-August 2010.

GDP growth in Azerbaijan has slowed considerably since the oil-fuelled boom period of 2003-2007 when growth averaged 21 percent.

The country's GDP growth slowed to 5.0 percent in 2010 from 9.3 percent in 2009, but was still above the government's target of 4.8 percent.

In May 2011, the government revised its GDP forecast for this year to 11.4 percent from an original forecast in the state budget of 3.8 percent. The change reflected a hike in the government's estimated price of crude for the year $80 from to $60. (Reporting by Naila Bagirova; writing by Margarita Antidze in Tbilisi; editing by)

http://uk.reuters.com/article/2011/09/16/azerbaijan-gdp-idUKL5E7KG1NX20110916

[Mher]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan's Foreign Debts Endanger Its Post-Oil Boom Future PDF Print E-mail

BAKU. August 9, 2011: Azerbaijan’s foreign debt increased by 17 % in 2011, reports the Center for Economic and Social Development (CESD). Azerbaijan’s foreign government debt made $ 4,512.6 million, up 17% from year earlier as of July 1, 2011. Ministry of Finance announced foreign government debt/GDP ratio makes 8.1%, up 0.7 percentage points, compared to a year ago.

The CESD experts mentioned that in spite of the fact that debt/GDP ratio is low in Azerbaijan, foreign debt has full-size share in non-oil GDP of the country: “ 41.6 billion manat ($ 52.6 billion) GDP produced in Azerbaijan in 2010. Only 15.8 billion USD was generated in non-oil sector. Considering the volume of the non-oil GDP, the share of the foreign debt in non-oil GDP reached 29 % in 2011. From a strategic standpoint, an increase in Azerbaijan’s foreign debts was damaging.

The CESD opposed receiving loans for various projects if “transparency and effectiveness are not ensured”. The CESD experts pointed out that over the long term, the economy is challenged by its excessive dependence on oil and its low level of diversification. Steps should be made to transform the industrial sector and boost the productivity in agriculture in order to reduce the foreign debt risk after the oil boom.

The official position of the Azerbaijani government is that country should not worry about the debt increase while it is getting enormous oil money at present. Considering that oil revenue will run out starting from 2014 and consequently the flow of money will stop, it is clear that the debt will become one of the major problems for Azerbaijan. Currently, Azerbaijan’s revenues from oil and gas are expected to run out in twenty years if no new oil or gas deposits are discovered in the country by that time.

The temporary nature of the oil and gas income in Azerbaijan gives rise to serious concerns. Meanwhile, the total foreign debt including the private sector’s debt in Azerbaijan is more than $10 billion according to the estimates of the CESD.

According to the studies of the University of Amsterdam, since there is “high spending” tendency, the debt situation is seriously getting out of control. The expected value shows that debt levels are likely to reach some 100% of GDP in the upcoming years. But the stochastic simulation shows that it could well run up much higher than that.

The CESD predictions are that the net debt level will stay below 200% of GDP in the simulation period, clearly an unacceptable level of debt once the oil reserves are depleted in Azerbaijan. The estimates are made with the assumptions that the Azerbaijani government will keep up its current spending habits. The lack of any ex-post response to adverse shocks accommodates massive uncertainty about future debt stocks. The default risk premia will depend on the likelihood that debt levels are larger than a threshold level beyond which political problems will block debt service (Sweder van Wijnbergen and Nina Budina, Fiscal Sustainability, Volatility and Oil Wealth: A Stochastic Analysis of Fiscal Sp ending Rules, 2011) (CESD).

http://azerireport.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=2880&Itemid=52

[arakeretzig]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

that's what happens when your whole economy is based on oil. Prices fall or your fields dry up, it's a down hill from there. This is what happens when a country doesn't have a brain. All these oil-rich muslim countries will be back to the stoneages(most of them are) and in the ashes of history when their precious oil dries up in a 100 years.

[burjuin]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

May 04, 2011, Stepanakert

[ArmeniaR1]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

Strange the MOD site reports nothing official about the UAV

[Spetsnaz]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

Այս տարի Ադրբեջանի բանակում մահացած 68 զինվորներից 59-ը մահացել են ոչ ռազմական պայմաններում. հաշվետվություն


Սեպտեմբեր 19, 2011 | 12:32

«Դոկտրինա» լրագրողների ռազմական հետազոտությունների կենտրոնը հրապարակել է հունվար-սեպտեմբեր ամիսների ընթացքում (մինչեւ սեպտեմբերի 18-ը) Ադրբեջանի ռազմական ոլորտում մարդկային կորուստների վերաբերյալ անցկացված մոնիթորինգի արդյունքները:

Հավետվության համաձայն, նկատվում է կորուստների թվի կտրուկ աճ, որը վերոնշյալ ժամանակահատվածում կազմել է 68, իսկ վիրավորների թիվը հասել է 70-ի:

«8 զինծառայող զոհվել է թշնամու գնդակից, մեկը պայթել է ականի վրա, իսկ ոչ ռազմական պայմաններում կորուստների թիվը կազմել է 59-ը»,-նշված է հաշվետվության մեջ:

7 մարդ մահացել են անհայտ հանգամանքներում, 9-ը` դժբախտ պատահարի հետեւանքով:

10 մարդ մահացել է ավտովթարի, 7-ը թունավորումներից եւ հիվանդություններից, 16-ը իրար դեմ զենքի կիրառման հետեւանքով, 9-ը ինքնասպանություն են գործել:

Մահացածներից 61-ը Պաշտպանության նախարարության, 4-ը` Սահմապահ ծառայության, 1-ը` Պետանվտանգության վարչության զինծառայողներ են:

«Ինչ վերաբերում է վիրավորներին, ապա նրանցից 10-ը վիրավորվել են ոչ կանոնադրական հարաբերությունների, 4-ը` ինքնասպանության փորձի, 28-ը` ավտոտրանսպորտային պատահարի, 7-ը` դժբախտ պատահարի, մեկը հիվանդության, 2-ը ականի վրա պայթյունի հետեւանքով, 18-ը` թշնամու գնդակից»,-նշված է տեղեկության մեջ:

Նրանցից 10-ը ծառայություն են անցել Սահմանային ծառայությունում, 1-ը` Զինվորական դատախազությունում, 2-ը` Պետանվտանգության վարչությունում, 57-ը` Ադրբեջանի ՊՆ-ում, հաղորդում է Contact.az-ը:

http://news.am/arm/news/74631.html