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Re: Is Russia an ally or foe, nowadays?
When the war starts; (updated version)
What are Azeri advantages?
1) They will rely on a surprise and a diversionary attack. (Londontsi)
2) Smerch will be very effective, as a mass destruction weapon in plain/flat land with high concentration of troops w/o proper entrenchment and underground fortifications as well as weaponry located in open air.
3) They have proper arsenal of other sophisticated weapons.
4) Guarantee that Russian’s wouldn’t intervene and hoping that Artsakh/Armenia will loose time and efforts on asking Russian’s to intervene and will be anxious by getting refusal or promise to intervene later on.
5) Hoping that Artsakh/Armenia leaders wouldn’t be that decisive, to react immediately, and will try to stop it by applying to the international community, loosing precious time to react.
6) Knowing our troop/weaponry locations that are not changed/dispositioned for years.
7) Enjoying Turkish and “Turkic” concealed support in manpower, armament and political area.
8) They have their own satellite to screen/locate objects in Artsakh/Armenia. Are they fully aware of its know how; to use properly?
9) Artsakh army wouldn't target Azeri civilians.
...
What are our advantages?
1) We hold the higher ground (in general) and normally it is easier to defend than to take. (Eddo)
2) Artsakh/Armenian soldiers are better trained and have a stronger will. (Eddo)
3) Counter attack is inbuilt as part of the defence strategy. (Londontsi)
...
What are Azeri weaknesses?
1) They can attack only Artsakh, while Artsakh will target all the country.
2) Oil, gas fields and major industrial complexes can be destroyed during the first hours of war. Excluding the oil fields in the Caspian that can cause environmental disaster of the sea. (Hakob)
3) Lack of strong will. (Eddo)
4) Lack of proper training. (Eddo)
5) The battlefield hostilities will quickly evolve into artillery duels. (Londontsi)
6) If the Azeri are seen to have started the war they will loose all political support from US, France and other EU countries. (Londontsi)
7) Turkish involvement has to be discounted. (Londontsi)
8) Although we will suffer, the level of refugees and destruction would be much higher on the Azeri side. (Londontsi)
9) Azeri may suffer internal ethnic unrest or rebellion against aliev's clan in case of prolonged hostilities. (Hakob)
10) Azeries are world wide known as an oppressor of its population democratic rights.
11) Fresh memories on crashing defeat in recent Artsakh war.
…
What are our weaknesses?
1) Low military budget. (Eddo)
2) Small airforce. (Eddo)
3) Latest and on-going arming of Azerbaijan. (Londontsi)
4) Azeries will target our civil population.
5) With artillery engagements, close proximity trenches will become impossible to hold. (Londontsi)
…
What should be done before the war starts?
1) With good intelligence, if we know an attack is imminent, we should pre-empt and deny them the surprise. (Eddo)
2) Building additional entrenchments and underground fortifications in the plain/flat land areas.
3) I heard we have arrangements with France to use their satellite data for screening/locating military/other objects in Azerbaijan, because the Russian data will be unreliable.
4) The times require us to grow up and make/produce our own satellite. (Londontsi)
5) Azeri positions will become vulnerable with the tactical evacuation of Armenian trenches.(Londontsi)
5) Mobilizing military specialists of Armenian decent, from Russia, that are familiar with “Smerch” and other weapon know-how; that Azeries bought from Russia. Scientists that took part in developing the arms will be very useful.
...
When the war starts; (updated version)
What are Azeri advantages?
1) They will rely on a surprise and a diversionary attack. (Londontsi)
2) Smerch will be very effective, as a mass destruction weapon in plain/flat land with high concentration of troops w/o proper entrenchment and underground fortifications as well as weaponry located in open air.
3) They have proper arsenal of other sophisticated weapons.
4) Guarantee that Russian’s wouldn’t intervene and hoping that Artsakh/Armenia will loose time and efforts on asking Russian’s to intervene and will be anxious by getting refusal or promise to intervene later on.
5) Hoping that Artsakh/Armenia leaders wouldn’t be that decisive, to react immediately, and will try to stop it by applying to the international community, loosing precious time to react.
6) Knowing our troop/weaponry locations that are not changed/dispositioned for years.
7) Enjoying Turkish and “Turkic” concealed support in manpower, armament and political area.
8) They have their own satellite to screen/locate objects in Artsakh/Armenia. Are they fully aware of its know how; to use properly?
9) Artsakh army wouldn't target Azeri civilians.
...
What are our advantages?
1) We hold the higher ground (in general) and normally it is easier to defend than to take. (Eddo)
2) Artsakh/Armenian soldiers are better trained and have a stronger will. (Eddo)
3) Counter attack is inbuilt as part of the defence strategy. (Londontsi)
...
What are Azeri weaknesses?
1) They can attack only Artsakh, while Artsakh will target all the country.
2) Oil, gas fields and major industrial complexes can be destroyed during the first hours of war. Excluding the oil fields in the Caspian that can cause environmental disaster of the sea. (Hakob)
3) Lack of strong will. (Eddo)
4) Lack of proper training. (Eddo)
5) The battlefield hostilities will quickly evolve into artillery duels. (Londontsi)
6) If the Azeri are seen to have started the war they will loose all political support from US, France and other EU countries. (Londontsi)
7) Turkish involvement has to be discounted. (Londontsi)
8) Although we will suffer, the level of refugees and destruction would be much higher on the Azeri side. (Londontsi)
9) Azeri may suffer internal ethnic unrest or rebellion against aliev's clan in case of prolonged hostilities. (Hakob)
10) Azeries are world wide known as an oppressor of its population democratic rights.
11) Fresh memories on crashing defeat in recent Artsakh war.
…
What are our weaknesses?
1) Low military budget. (Eddo)
2) Small airforce. (Eddo)
3) Latest and on-going arming of Azerbaijan. (Londontsi)
4) Azeries will target our civil population.
5) With artillery engagements, close proximity trenches will become impossible to hold. (Londontsi)
…
What should be done before the war starts?
1) With good intelligence, if we know an attack is imminent, we should pre-empt and deny them the surprise. (Eddo)
2) Building additional entrenchments and underground fortifications in the plain/flat land areas.
3) I heard we have arrangements with France to use their satellite data for screening/locating military/other objects in Azerbaijan, because the Russian data will be unreliable.
4) The times require us to grow up and make/produce our own satellite. (Londontsi)
5) Azeri positions will become vulnerable with the tactical evacuation of Armenian trenches.(Londontsi)
5) Mobilizing military specialists of Armenian decent, from Russia, that are familiar with “Smerch” and other weapon know-how; that Azeries bought from Russia. Scientists that took part in developing the arms will be very useful.
...
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