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Azeris constitute about 16% of Iran's population and live in the Iranian provinces of West and East Azerbaijan, which border on Turkey, Armenia and Azerbaijan. Taking advanxtage of this - and of the material and moral support from Turkey - many political forces in Azerbaijan call for the formation of a "United Azerbaijan". Under the previous president of Azerbaijan, Abulfaz Elchibey, this was a key national objective. Today some ruling groups (Motherland, United Azerbaijan) and opposixtion forces (Popular Front, Musavat etc.) that have a certain influence on Azerbaijani political life are listing among their key goals the formaxtion of a United Azerbaijan with Iran's northern provinces, which are populated by Azeris.
While it is unlikely today, a future scenario that cannot be ruled out is that certain liberalixzation and transformation of Iran's domestic scene may strengthen separatist sentiments among Azeris living in Iran's northern regions, who would seek separation or support the forxmation of a common Azeri state. Such developxments would seriously endanger the security of Armenian borders in the south and pose the threat of a blockade.
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