RFE/RL Armenia Report - 07/11/2005
From: Asbed Bedrossian <[email protected]>
Date: Mon, 11 Jul 2005 19:53:38 -0700 (PDT)
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Monday, 11 July, 2005
Armenia, Azerbaijan `Close To Karabakh Deal'
By Harry Tamrazian
Armenia and Azerbaijan are close to hammering out a peace accord on
Nagorno-Karabakh that will allow its ethnic Armenian residents to decide
their status in an internationally supervised referendum, according to
sources in Yerevan privy to the negotiating process.
The high-level sources, speaking on the condition of anonymity, have
told RFE/RL that the conflicting parties have already agreed on the key
points of a peace deal that could be formalized as early as this year or
at the beginning of next. At the heart of it, they say, is the idea of a
referendum in which the Karabakh Armenians will decide whether they want
to be independent, become a part of Armenia or return under Azerbaijani
rule.
Some Armenian and Western officials have hinted at the possibility of
such a vote over the past year that has seen major progress toward the
resolution of the Karabakh dispute. Presidents Ilham Aliev and Robert
Kocharian could build upon it at their next meeting scheduled to take
place in the Russian city of Kazan on August 27.
The Armenian sources claimed that the referendum would be held within 10
to 15 years from the signing of a peace agreement and would follow the
return of five of the seven occupied Azerbaijani districts around
Karabakh. They said the Lachin district, which serves as the shortest
overland link between Armenia and Karabakh, would remain under Armenian
control, while agreement has yet to be reached on the seventh occupied
territory, Kelbajar. The Armenians are ready to pull out of Kelbajar
only after a date is set for the referendum, while the Azerbaijani side
is demanding its liberation along with the five other districts, the
sources said.
Such a settlement would involve a combination of the so-called `package'
and `step-by-step' strategies of conflict resolution that are preferred
by the Armenian and Azerbaijani sides respectively. Officials in Yerevan
and Stepanakert have indicated in recent months that they are ready to
drop their insistence on a single agreement resolving all contentious
issues at once provided that they get other guarantees of continued
Armenian control of Karabakh.
Azerbaijan would recognize the Armenian control at least until the
referendum in Karabakh, the Yerevan sources said, adding that the peace
deal also calls for the deployment of peacekeeping troops from countries
that are not members of the OSCE's Minsk Group. They said this is a
compromise arrangement resulting from Azerbaijani opposition to Russian
participation in the peacekeeping force and Armenia's strong objections
to any Turkish military presence in the conflict zone.
Meanwhile, the Minsk Group's American, French and Russian co-chairs
began on Monday another round of regional shuttle diplomacy that will
take them to Azerbaijan, Armenia and Karabakh. The mediators have always
been tight-lipped about the content of their proposals, citing the
confidentiality of the peace proposals.
Their visit is expected to be followed by yet another meeting between
the Armenian and Azerbaijani leaders which will precede the scheduled
Aliev-Kocharian talks in Kazan.
From: Asbed Bedrossian <[email protected]>
Date: Mon, 11 Jul 2005 19:53:38 -0700 (PDT)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monday, 11 July, 2005
Armenia, Azerbaijan `Close To Karabakh Deal'
By Harry Tamrazian
Armenia and Azerbaijan are close to hammering out a peace accord on
Nagorno-Karabakh that will allow its ethnic Armenian residents to decide
their status in an internationally supervised referendum, according to
sources in Yerevan privy to the negotiating process.
The high-level sources, speaking on the condition of anonymity, have
told RFE/RL that the conflicting parties have already agreed on the key
points of a peace deal that could be formalized as early as this year or
at the beginning of next. At the heart of it, they say, is the idea of a
referendum in which the Karabakh Armenians will decide whether they want
to be independent, become a part of Armenia or return under Azerbaijani
rule.
Some Armenian and Western officials have hinted at the possibility of
such a vote over the past year that has seen major progress toward the
resolution of the Karabakh dispute. Presidents Ilham Aliev and Robert
Kocharian could build upon it at their next meeting scheduled to take
place in the Russian city of Kazan on August 27.
The Armenian sources claimed that the referendum would be held within 10
to 15 years from the signing of a peace agreement and would follow the
return of five of the seven occupied Azerbaijani districts around
Karabakh. They said the Lachin district, which serves as the shortest
overland link between Armenia and Karabakh, would remain under Armenian
control, while agreement has yet to be reached on the seventh occupied
territory, Kelbajar. The Armenians are ready to pull out of Kelbajar
only after a date is set for the referendum, while the Azerbaijani side
is demanding its liberation along with the five other districts, the
sources said.
Such a settlement would involve a combination of the so-called `package'
and `step-by-step' strategies of conflict resolution that are preferred
by the Armenian and Azerbaijani sides respectively. Officials in Yerevan
and Stepanakert have indicated in recent months that they are ready to
drop their insistence on a single agreement resolving all contentious
issues at once provided that they get other guarantees of continued
Armenian control of Karabakh.
Azerbaijan would recognize the Armenian control at least until the
referendum in Karabakh, the Yerevan sources said, adding that the peace
deal also calls for the deployment of peacekeeping troops from countries
that are not members of the OSCE's Minsk Group. They said this is a
compromise arrangement resulting from Azerbaijani opposition to Russian
participation in the peacekeeping force and Armenia's strong objections
to any Turkish military presence in the conflict zone.
Meanwhile, the Minsk Group's American, French and Russian co-chairs
began on Monday another round of regional shuttle diplomacy that will
take them to Azerbaijan, Armenia and Karabakh. The mediators have always
been tight-lipped about the content of their proposals, citing the
confidentiality of the peace proposals.
Their visit is expected to be followed by yet another meeting between
the Armenian and Azerbaijani leaders which will precede the scheduled
Aliev-Kocharian talks in Kazan.
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