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US bypasses Russia with BP pipeline

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  • US bypasses Russia with BP pipeline

    By Adrian Blomfield in Moscow
    (Filed: 09/06/2006)


    Washington scored a significant victory in its contest with Moscow for influence in Central Asia yesterday when Kazakhstan agreed to start pumping oil to the West through a British Petroleum pipeline that bypasses Russia and Iran.

    The deal, secured largely because of a personal visit to Kazakhstan last month by xxxx Cheney, the United States vice-president, will infuriate the Kremlin.

    But there will be secret relief in European capitals, where there is growing concern over Russia's apparent willingness to use its vast energy supplies as a political weapon.

    Nursultan Nazarbayev, the Kazakh president, told an investors' conference in the capital, Almaty, that a formal agreement would be signed next week to begin delivery through an existing BP pipeline that connects Azerbaijan to the Turkish coast.

    This loops through Georgia, thus avoiding Russia to the north and Iran to the south.



    The deal will give the West greater access to the vast oil fields of the Caspian Sea - estimated to hold the world's third-largest reserves - and ease its growing dependence on energy from Russia and the Middle East.

    America and Russia are locked in fierce competition for access to Central Asia's vast energy wealth.

    Russia has emerged as the world's second largest oil producer after Saudi Arabia, a fact that has allowed the Kremlin to recover some of its Cold War swagger.

    Mr Cheney, a former oil man who for more than 20 years has highlighted the importance of the Caspian Sea, has grown increasingly sceptical of Russia's intentions towards the West.

    He launched a scathing attack on the Kremlin last month and caused outrage by flying to Kazakhstan immediately afterwards, where he was fulsome in his praise for Mr Nazarbayev's even more democratically dubious regime

    President Ilham Aliyev of Azerbaijan, the other major oil-producing country on the Caspian to sign an energy deal with the West, was recently entertained at the White House - though he too has been accused of cheating in an election last year.
    The new deal could help to bring down world oil prices, another factor likely to upset Russia, whose energy-dependent economy could wobble if crude falls below $50 a barrel.

    Kazakhstan has become a serious rival to Russia as a hydrocarbon exporter.

    But Mr Nazarbayev is in a tricky situation.

    The financial benefits of a US deal may be tempting but must be set against his country's geographical vulnerability to its powerful neighbours Russia and China, neither of whom is keen on his flirtation with the West.

    The president sought to alleviate concerns in the Kremlin with an assurance that the bulk of Kazakh oil would still be transported through Russia.

    5 May 2006: Cheney accuses Russia of bullying tactics
    8 November 2005: Azerbaijan poll result rejected by observers
    "All truth passes through three stages:
    First, it is ridiculed;
    Second, it is violently opposed; and
    Third, it is accepted as self-evident."

    Arthur Schopenhauer (1788-1860)

  • #2
    Israel Pledges Political, Economic Aid for Transit of Azeri Oil

    by Turan news agency, Baku BBC Monitoring Newsfile Thursday, June 08, 2006


    Israel is interested not only in importing Azerbaijani oil, but also in transiting it, the minister of national infrastructure of Israel, Binyamin (Fouad) Ben-Eliezer said at the Caspian oil and gas 2006 conference this week.

    Israel's strategic location between Africa and Asia creates a vast potential for energy cooperation between Israel and Azerbaijan. Israel hopes for supplies of Azerbaijani oil as supplies from Africa incur high transport costs.




    The minister believes that a pipeline can be laid from the Turkish port of Ceyhan to the Israeli town of Ashkelon which has an access to the Red Sea. He added that China is already interested in this option.

    What is more, Israel is eager to buy the Azerbaijani gas exported via the Baku-Tbilisi-Erzurum pipeline to Turkey. Israel currently has a signed contract with Egypt on importing gas. However, diversifying the supplies would ensure stability of the country's energy security.

    At the end of his speech, Binyamin Ben-Eliezer said that the Israeli government eyes the projects in question without any illusions. "If the Azerbaijani government treats these projects with understanding, we will support Baku not only financially, but also politically," he said.
    "All truth passes through three stages:
    First, it is ridiculed;
    Second, it is violently opposed; and
    Third, it is accepted as self-evident."

    Arthur Schopenhauer (1788-1860)

    Comment


    • #3
      The New American Cold War

      Contrary to established opinion, the gravest threats to America's
      national security are still in Russia. They derive from an unprecedented
      development that most US policy-makers have recklessly disregarded, as
      evidenced by the undeclared cold war Washington has waged, under both
      parties, against post-Communist Russia during the past fifteen years.

      More...http://groong.usc.edu/news/msg154663.html
      "All truth passes through three stages:
      First, it is ridiculed;
      Second, it is violently opposed; and
      Third, it is accepted as self-evident."

      Arthur Schopenhauer (1788-1860)

      Comment


      • #4
        Azeri Crude to Slip Out of Russia's Stranglehold

        Friday, July 7, 2006. Issue 3448. Page 7.




        By Simon Webb
        Reuters
        LONDON — The mammoth Baku-Ceyhan pipeline from Azerbaijan to the Mediterranean is a step toward freeing Caspian oil from Russia's stranglehold but the grip will not be broken until Kazakhstan finds new export routes, analysts say.

        The $4 billion pipeline, due to be inaugurated next week, will pump from 300,000 to 400,000 barrels per day of Azeri crude to Turkey's Ceyhan port and international markets by the end of this year, rising to a million bpd in 2008.

        It is the first time large volumes of crude will be exported from the Caspian oil producing region of Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan without going through northern neighbor Russia.

        "Baku-Ceyhan does not break Russia's stranglehold," said Alfa Bank's Moscow-based chief strategist Chris Weafer.

        "What was much more important were the projects coming behind it. But they haven't happened. The big prize now that the major oil companies are after is the line from Kazakhstan."

        Exports from the emerging energy giant of Kazakhstan are mostly via Russia to the Black Sea through the Caspian Pipeline Consortium.

        Russia has repeatedly blocked Kazakh plans to double the Caspian Pipeline's capacity from the current 700,000 bpd, claiming it would put further strain on the congested Turkish Straits.


        Expansion of the Caspian Pipeline is vital for Kazakhstan, which hopes to triple its oil output to over 3 million bpd by 2015.

        Looking for an alternative, the Kazakhs joined the Baku-Ceyhan project in mid-June.

        The most direct connection would be a pipeline under the Caspian from Kazakh fields to Baku. But that option is out of the question without permission from Russia, Iran and Turkmenistan. Environmental groups also oppose the pipeline.

        "The Russians and the Iranians are going to do all they can to block something like that," said analyst Julian Lee at the Centre for Global Energy Studies.

        "It is very difficult given the disagreements we have over Caspian Sea ownership."

        For now, oil companies operating in Kazakhstan are planning to build new terminals on either side of the Caspian and use tankers to ship Kazakh crude across the sea.

        Lee said he doubted the region had the shipyard capacity to build the tankers needed for large volumes to move that way. Large-scale Kazakh exports through the Baku-Ceyhan line were unlikely before 2010, Kazakh's energy minister said last week.

        The U.S. gave heavy political support to the Baku-Ceyhan pipeline as it sought to counter Russia's control over the region, diversify its own crude supply and lessen its growing dependency on Middle Eastern oil.

        "From a diplomatic point of view for the West it makes a lot of sense," said Frank Verrastro, director of the energy program at the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies. "It's non-OPEC, non Persian Gulf oil and the transit route is outside of Russia."

        The 1770 km pipeline also avoids the Turkish straits, where crude carriers can be subject to long delays during winter.

        But some analysts question how much more reliable Azerbaijan is in the long term than any other exporter.

        "From my point of view I'm not sure that Azeri crude is really any more reliable than Russian crude," said Carl Calabro, director of market analysis at PFC Energy. "The Azeris have problems with Armenia and the Turks have problems in eastern Turkey."
        "All truth passes through three stages:
        First, it is ridiculed;
        Second, it is violently opposed; and
        Third, it is accepted as self-evident."

        Arthur Schopenhauer (1788-1860)

        Comment

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