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if war broke out

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  • #11
    Re: if war broke out

    lets see... Because the Armenian government isn't trying to bite off more than it can chew, it is in an advantageous position as it has the blessings of Russia. It is ready to respond to Azeri invaison of Arstakh.

    Because Georgia bit off more than it can chew, it suffered a humiliating defeat at the hands of Russia.

    Azerbaijan learned a lesson by watching Georgia's freakshow president go the full 9 yards with Nato support into SO. It also knows that invading Arsakh will lead to dramatic losses at the hands of the very battle ready Armenian forces.

    Hopes for Nabucco got destroyed.

    Turkey is stuck between Nato and Russia now.

    Before answering such questions about how "the battle can escalate", lets confrim that we aren't blind towards the already existing geopolitical reality shall we? There is no such thing as peace SoyElTurco, only lack of civilian or military casualties due to agreements of not blowing eachothers' heads off at a given moment. Just like in chess, two opponents position their pieces strategically, so that though they are capable of killing their opponent, they will suffer losing their attacking piece during the next turn. The goal is to first isolate the other players' vital positions in order to gain a comparative advantage (and then, if all is clear, to destroy them), not to go all out and "escalate" things.

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    • #12
      Re: if war broke out

      armenia can defend attacks from both turkey and azerbaijan,but before that,battles specially in karabax will coment in azeri fields,Blitzkrieg to eliminate azeris secure armenias back and focus to turkey.

      I think politicaly turkey will not move.
      NATO will not help turkey,US maybe but not NATO.Dont forget greece and especially cyprus.So if US help turky Russia will definitely do the same for armenia,
      If again NATO do somthing it goes WW3 cause it will face CSTO and SCO will help them Iran will go military sup if they want to secure there own teritory from US invasion.

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      • #13
        Re: if war broke out

        In other word the war will stay in the ragion bethwin Armenia and Azerbaijan given the situation Azeris will lose so no war will hapen.
        Alyev can only talk hes black gold only gives him time and the nervs to bully around,soon it will over.

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        • #14
          Re: if war broke out

          Originally posted by SoyElTurco View Post
          okay, this went off topic. people haven't asnwered the question. i was wondering how far it could escalate. some intellectual exercising please.
          It wouldn't escalate - no matter how much you make an intellectual exercise out of it.
          In 1993, Turkish tanks could have been on the streets of Yerevan in a matter of hours if they had chosen to cross the border. But they didn't because, fortunately, not all leaders are like George W. Bush. Most are either intelligent or pragmatic or scared of uncertainty and instability - and they generally have the ability to think further ahead than a few years. It's only if they think that doing nothing will lead to uncertainty or instability for themselves that they will react (i.e. Russia responding to Georgia's invasion). It is unlikely that any country will react in that way if Azerbaijan and Armenia start full scale fighting again. Armenia might win battles, but it can never win a war against Azerbaijan, so nobody will intervene on Azerbaijan's behalf. Only if Azerbaijan starts to commit widespread attrocities in Armenia will there be a posibility of anyone intervening on behalf of Armenia. However, because of Russian military bases in Armenia, Azerbaijan is unlikely to launch any significant attacks on Armenia proper. Azeri's committing attrocities in NK will be acceptable to outside nations - that is already implicit in their attitudes towards NK's independence, so they won't intervene to stop them.
          Plenipotentiary meow!

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          • #15
            Re: if war broke out

            Originally posted by bell-the-cat View Post
            Azerbaijan is unlikely to launch any significant attacks on Armenia proper.
            does the csto extend to nk?
            Last edited by SoyElTurco; 01-24-2009, 02:22 PM.

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            • #16
              Re: if war broke out

              nop its not thats way not eny WW3 will start its will be regional only

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              • #17
                Re: if war broke out

                beli the cat way the hell u are so in armenia will lose thing?what make u think about that give me facts?its nubers only why the hell u say armenia will lose?

                U say "attrocities in Armenia" what the hek us say again?u think like armenia is toy or slave of others,wake up keep ur ideas away from childrens,armenians like u are american most of there parts,i just realise that in time of need u will not present ur self in army.

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                • #18
                  Re: if war broke out

                  Yeah, what the hell bell the cat? Armenia could and would defeat azerbaijan in the above mentioned case.
                  For the first time in more than 600 years, Armenia is free and independent, and we are therefore obligated
                  to place our national interests ahead of our personal gains or aspirations.



                  http://www.armenianhighland.com/main.html

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                  • #19
                    Re: if war broke out

                    What kind of defeating of azerbaijan are you talking about Armanen? A march to Baku or a desicive victory over the territories of Artsakh?

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                    • #20
                      Re: if war broke out

                      he talks about expanding the bordes so we will be connected with russia and azeris get cut off from georgia.We were the winers dont forget it were Artsakh troops fighting not the majority of armenian army straight,only a part of it and we won.
                      Men its just that in old days we had something that others cant afford "horses"
                      now days its the Mig earcrafts made by armenian but we are the 1 that cant bay it.

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