Re: Armenian-Turkish Relations
You're quite right on this point, but lets think for a moment... in whose favor will such protocols be interpreted? In the favor of the weaker or stronger state? Obviously the stronger. So by Armenia signing the document, it is already an admission that these things will be judged in Turkey's favor. They will set up a commission to decide whether or not there was a genocide, and if Armenia refuses Turkey will use it as bait to tell the world, "look, Armenia was willing to open a commission, and now they're backing out, so they are backing out of the protocols and we cannot establish diplomatic relations".
So what would you recommend? Agreeing to a "historical commission"? Lets see the possible pros and cons of this:
1. In the best-case scenario, the historical commission will take us back to zero, in other words, it will say there was an Armenian Genocide. Great, we are back to square one, waiting for Turkey to accept it. Nowhere in the protocol does it say Turkey has to accept the decision of the commission, and if they did, there is no way in hell they would sign the document unless they knew 100% that the commission was paid off in their favor.
2. More likely, the commission will either reject that it was a genocide, or it will reach a stalemate. Both cases are detrimental to us, because Turkey can say "the commission could not prove it was genocide", and use that as propaganda for many years to come.
I know that Armenia is doing this for Russia's economic benefit. So why do they need to set up a commission of historians? Why do they need to make Armenia recognize Turkey's fake borders, and give up our legal claim to western Armenia? Is this really in Russia's interest? No. We can open borders without touching any of these issues, but Turkey and the US insist that they include these provisions. We should talk to Russia and say look, we are ready to open the border if you get these issues off the agenda. If they say sorry we can't do that, then say sorry we can't accept these proposals. If need be, we should drag Russia into this issue, whether they like it or not, because this is all their idea in the first place.
As to accepting the fake borders... once we give up our legal claim to western Armenia, our country will forever imprison itself as a landlocked, resourceless, tiny republic, doomed to an eternity of weakness. They are asking Armenia to agree to tie a noose around its own neck, so that Turkey can kick the box from under our legs in a few decades.
Originally posted by Haykakan
So what would you recommend? Agreeing to a "historical commission"? Lets see the possible pros and cons of this:
1. In the best-case scenario, the historical commission will take us back to zero, in other words, it will say there was an Armenian Genocide. Great, we are back to square one, waiting for Turkey to accept it. Nowhere in the protocol does it say Turkey has to accept the decision of the commission, and if they did, there is no way in hell they would sign the document unless they knew 100% that the commission was paid off in their favor.
2. More likely, the commission will either reject that it was a genocide, or it will reach a stalemate. Both cases are detrimental to us, because Turkey can say "the commission could not prove it was genocide", and use that as propaganda for many years to come.
I know that Armenia is doing this for Russia's economic benefit. So why do they need to set up a commission of historians? Why do they need to make Armenia recognize Turkey's fake borders, and give up our legal claim to western Armenia? Is this really in Russia's interest? No. We can open borders without touching any of these issues, but Turkey and the US insist that they include these provisions. We should talk to Russia and say look, we are ready to open the border if you get these issues off the agenda. If they say sorry we can't do that, then say sorry we can't accept these proposals. If need be, we should drag Russia into this issue, whether they like it or not, because this is all their idea in the first place.
As to accepting the fake borders... once we give up our legal claim to western Armenia, our country will forever imprison itself as a landlocked, resourceless, tiny republic, doomed to an eternity of weakness. They are asking Armenia to agree to tie a noose around its own neck, so that Turkey can kick the box from under our legs in a few decades.
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