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Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

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  • Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan


    • Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

      Մայիսի 20-ին թշնամու կրակոցից մահացել է ՊԲ զինծառայող


      • Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

        Originally posted by ayrudzi View Post
        The title says it's the Azeris attacking their own positions

        Originally posted by Hakob View Post
        Azeris were hitting their own positions.
        I didn't even read the title. That last beer was one to many...
        Mihi vindictam ego retribuam dicit Dominus


        • Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

          Originally posted by Spetsnaz View Post
          Մայիսի 20-ին թշնամու կրակոցից մահացել է ՊԲ զինծառայող

          It is well past the time to use disproportional response. I cannot stand these snipers picking off our boys like this. What the hell is our side waiting for? Hit them HARD and clear the border area, level everything there to the ground.
          Hayastan or Bust.


          • Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

            Azerbaijan: the beginning of the end?

            PRAGUE --- A sensational news came a day ago - the largest bank of Azerbaijan, the IBA, declared bankruptcy. What does this collapse mean for the Azerbaijani economy? Will the main energy giant of the country, connected with the IBA, also be under the blow? And what steps will the government take to save the situation? We are discussing this with the Azerbaijani economist Natig Jafarli.

            Katerina Prokofieva: Natig, how serious is the bankruptcy of the International Bank of Azerbaijan, is it possible to perceive this as the beginning of the end of the Azerbaijani economy, especially since the bank is connected with the government and SOCAR?

            Natig Jafarli: To be honest, the problems of the Interbank Bank did not begin today or even yesterday. This has been going on for several years, but in recent months the government has been trying to help the debts of this bank, and about 10 billion manat was allocated to pay off the bank's debts and to withdraw toxic loans from the bank's balance in order to somehow clear the bank's work. But, apparently, it is not possible to completely clear all toxic credits, especially foreign ones - about 3 billion 300 million dollars, and external debt. It turns out that today, the Interbank can not fulfill its international obligations, therefore, there was an appeal to the New York court that at least there should be no transfers on the interest of these loans and that in future the creditors did not take away the property that the state has abroad, Including from Interbank. Those. The appeal to the New York court was for this purpose in order to prevent in the future the weaning of real estate, which is listed in the foreign assets of this bank.

            Azerbaijan: the beginning of the end?
            please wait
            In a separate window
            The entire financial, banking system of the country is not in a better condition than Interbank, to be honest. Interbank is a state bank, but commercial banks are also in a very poor condition, some banks have even 50% of non-performing loans. Officially announced about 10%, but Moody's and Fitch Ratings in their latest reports announced a minimum of 25 percent of toxic loans. I think that in reality this is even twice as much as announced by these international financial rating institutions. Those. The financial system is in a deplorable state, and what is happening now with Interbank is, figuratively speaking, the first swallow of what is happening in the financial system. As for commercial banks that have external debt, or the state will be forced to help them and commit themselves to loans, or some, already commercial banks, can declare bankrupt in the coming months.

            Katerina Prokofieva: In addition, SOCAR is involved in a corruption scandal in Malta ...

            Natig Jafarli: SOCAR has other problems. SOCAR has a large external debt - about 8 billion dollars, and all these loans are taken under state pledge. Those. In this regard, the state of SOCAR is not very good. There are unfinished projects, and SOCAR is now strenuously looking for at least another $ 4-5 billion to finish some of its projects. SOCAR also has loans also in the Interbank, and most likely, these loans will also be written off, because SOCAR is not in a position to return the domestic loans, because he himself is looking for, as I said, external loans. But I do not think that the state will allow the main company, i.e. A company that is, one might say, the locomotive of the country's economy, to become a bankrupt who could not pay off foreign debts. Therefore, SOCAR will help in every possible way, and I do not expect bankruptcy of SOCAR in the near future, and I think it will not be tolerated, not only because of the country's image, but because SOCAR is the main locomotive of the economy, and SOCAR's bankruptcy will lead to a universal The collapse of the entire economic system.

            And so we have big problems, and the budget decreases, and incomes decrease every year. The budget of 2017 in dollar terms is the smallest budget for the last ten years, i.e. We returned in fact by 2007 in dollar terms. Those. The country's economy is in a very bad state, to put it mildly, and structural and institutional reforms are needed to improve it, but unfortunately the government does not do it because basically reforms in the system of government are needed, and for now the government is in it Direction does not want to do anything concrete. No steps have been taken, and frankly, I do not think that it will be in the near future, because any reform of the management system can lead to discontent among the intra-state groups, and this poses great problems for the government and the authorities of the country.

            Katerina Prokofieva: Well, it is fraught for the government, for the Aliyev clan this situation has already taken shape, and now there are reports from the inside of the country about alleged cooperation with the Armenian intelligence, then in Tbilisi some group is preparing a coup in Baku. Nothing is being clarified, everything is somehow vaguely flickering in the press, but by somebody these outbursts about conspiracies are being initiated ...

            Natig Jafarli: Most likely, all these rumors and information throws are an intra-state struggle, and not between the opposition and the authorities, unfortunately. There is an impression that it is within the government that there are certain groups that fuse certain information against each other. In this regard, of course, recent developments make you think. While official confirmation or some information is very little about what is happening at all in connection with this information, but I think this is most likely the result of the fact that there is some kind of war of compromising materials inside the authorities.

            Katerina Prokofieva: This deterioration in the economy has already led to pressure, and, as we know, Azadlig, Turan TV and Meidan TV are closed. What's next: do you expect any change in the balance in foreign policy, some next clashes in Karabakh, - what are your forecasts?

            Natig Jafarli: Honestly, the fact that websites are being blocked is a shame for the country, because in the 21st century it's almost impossible to block websites. The person who has still read these sites, most likely, will find ways and today to go and read the information he wants to receive. Those. This is some typical Soviet approach, and I do not think that the effectiveness of this step will be, but in any case it is a big blow to the image of the country. Everyone understands why this is all done, because the worse the economic situation in the country, the tougher the policy, unfortunately. On the contrary, there should be an easing in all directions, there must be very serious structural, economic, political reforms, but instead there is a "tightening of the nuts".

            Unfortunately, in this situation everything can happen: there may be new waves of arrests, there may be an aggravation of the situation in the front zone - anything can be expected. Unfortunately, it does not go in the direction in which the country should move. The authorities in every way want not to talk about problems, but, not to mention the problems, they do not disappear. Unfortunately, for some reason our authorities do not understand this philosophical truth, they think that if nobody writes, talk about problems, they will disappear by themselves. But they do not disappear, they become more and more, because the country needs an economy, very strong economic and political structural reforms are needed, especially judicial reform, because any investor and businessman first need to know how the country's financial system works and How the legal system of the country works. Now, both in the financial and legal system of the country are big problems, therefore the steps that are supposedly undertaken in the economy do not yield any real results.

            Katerina Prokofieva: Against this background, and Islamabad, which takes place in Baku, can also be considered a diversionary maneuver?

            Natig Jafarli: When the decision was taken on Islamabad, according to the European Games, according to Formula-1, it was several years ago, then oil cost $ 120, and for some reason authorities in Azerbaijan thought that it would always be like this. Therefore, they would consider the refusal of such competitions to be a loss of the image of the authorities, the government of the country. But the fact that there is very little interest in these competitions can be said today with confidence. Quite frankly, the European games caused much more interest even among the population. Now these Games are practically no normal, live interest in the population of the country do not cause.

            Katerina Prokofieva: The population of the country is generally understandable, but besides, none of the leaders of Islamic countries that were invited simply did not come and ignored it.

            Natig Jafarli: This is also a very strange moment. To be honest, there was no normal explanation until now, why it happened, but I think that even those countries that were invited to Azerbaijan have their own problems. In the Muslim world a lot of problems - and in the economy, and terrorism, and other aspects. Most likely, these Games, in fact, do not cause any great interest, even from those countries that participate there. Even the number of participants in these sports competitions also speaks for itself: big countries sent very few athletes to Azerbaijan. Of the participating about three thousand athletes, more than 500 - representatives of Azerbaijan. These figures speak for themselves a lot about what they say.



            • Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

              Nagorno-Karabakh Defense Army


              • Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan


                • Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

                  Էլեկտրոն-ը ևս հինգ տարի ռազմամթերք կարտադրի



                  • Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan


                    • Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

                      Երկու նշանային հարված Ադրբեջանին. Ինչ է սպասվում շփման գծում
                      Մեկնաբանություն - 21 Մայիսի 2017,

                      Մինսկի խմբի վերջին հայտարարությունը լայն քննարկման առարկա է դարձել իր հասցեական գնահատականի շնորհիվ: Դրանում նշվում է, որ ադրբեջանական կողմն է կրակ բացել առաջինը, որից հետո հայկական կողմը պատասխան կրակ է բացել:

                      Իրավիճակն առանձնահատուկ է նրանով, որ Ադրբեջանն առաջին անգամ կիրառել է կառավարվող հրթիռ եւ շարքից հանել հայկական հակաօդային պաշտպանության համակարգի մասերից մեկը: Ի պատասխան հայկական կողմը խոցել է ադրբեջանական ՀՕՊ համալիր:

                      Իրավիճակի մյուս առանձնահատկությունը շփման գծում ստեղծված իրավիճակն է: Ապրիլյան պատերազմից հետո Ադրբեջանը հայտնվել է ռազմա-քաղաքական փակուղում, ինչն ամրագրվեց Վիեննայի հանդիպմանը ձեռք բերված պայմանավորվածություններով: Մասնավորապես, խոսքը հետաքննության մեխանիզմի ներդրման մասին է:

                      Ադրբեջանը փորձեր է կատարում տապալելու Վիեննայի օրակարգը, սակայն դա առայժմ չի հաջողվում: Հայաստանն իր հերթին նախապայմաններ է առաջադրել բանակցությունը շարունակելու համար, մասնավորապես՝ հետաքննության մեխանիզմի ներդրումն ու Ղարաբաղի կարգավիճակը:

                      Ադրբեջանը հայտարարում է, որ աշխարհը ստիպում է ճանաչել Ղարաբաղի անկախությունը, իսկ հետաքննության մեխանիզմի ներդրումը նշանակում է սահմանների փաստացի ճանաչում: Բաքուն հայտարարել է, որ երբեք դրան չի գնա:

                      Իսկ բոլորովին վերջերս Ադրբեջանն առաջ է քաշել նոր հայեցակարգ՝ տարածքներ խաղաղության դիմաց, որի իմաստը հանգում է հետեւյալին՝ հայկական զորքերը դուրս են բերվում, որի դիմաց Ադրբեջանը խոստանում է չպատերազմել: Փաստացի, որեւէ խոսք չկա կարգավորման մասին:

                      Սերժ Սարգսյանն Ազգային ժողովում փաստացի պատասխանեց Բաքվին, կրկին առաջ քաշելով Ղարաբաղի կարգավիճակի հարցը, Կազանյան փաստաթղթի համատեքստում:
                      Այս պայմաններում, բնականաբար, բանակցություններն արդեն իմաստ չունեն:

                      Քաղաքական այս դիրքորոշումներին զուգահեռ Ադրբեջանը փորձեր էր կատարում վերականգնելու պատերազմի իր իրավունքը: Այս տարվա փետրվարին Ադրբեջանը փորձեց վերսկսել դիվերսիոն հարձակումների քաղաքականությունը, սակայն կանխիչ ուժեղ ու բավական անսպասելի հարված ստացավ, տալով զոհեր: Անսպասելին այստեղ այն էր, որ պարզվեց՝ հայկական կողմում արդեն տեղադրվել են հետաքննության մեխանիզմներ, ըստ որոշ տեղեկությունների՝ ամերիկյան գերժամանակակից համակարգեր: Ադրբեջանը հասկացավ, որ այդ միջոցն արդեն սպառված է:

                      Դրանից հետո փորձ արվեց կիրառել անօդաչու թռչող սարքեր, ինչն արդյունավետ էր ապրիլյան պատերազմի ժամանակ: Սակայն հայկական զինուժը մեծ բարձրության վրա ոչնչացրեց ադրբեջանական գրոհային ԱԹՍ, որից հետո պարզ դարձավ, որ հայկական կողմը տիրապետում է հակաօդային գերժամանակակից միջոցների:

                      Ադրբեջանը կրակեց հայկական ՀՕՊ-ի վրա, եւ դա անկասկած ԱԹՍ-ի պատասխանն էր: Դա երկրորդ հարվածն էր այդ երկրի փաստարկներին:
                      Մինսկի խմբի հայտարարությանն ի պատասխան Ադրբեջանի ԱԳՆ-ն հայտարարել է, թե իր տարածքում ադրբեջանական զինուժն ինչ ուզի՝ կանի: Ի՞նչ նոր բան է այս անգամ կիրառելու Բաքուն շփման գծում:

                      Մինսկի խմբի հայտարարությունը, կամ միջազգային հանրության արձագանքն այսպես ասած պարտադիր ուժ չունեն, համենայնդեպս այս փուլում: Հայաստանը կարծես թե գտել է Ադրբեջանին փակուղուց դուրս չթողնելու ձեւը, եւ այս քաղաքականությունը պետք է շարունակվի հստակ ու առանց զիջումների, զուգահեռ մշտապես արդիականացնելով զինուժի հնարավորությունները: Այդ պարագայում ռազմական շանտաժի քաղաքականությունը կկորցնի իր իմաստը:

                      Ղարաբաղյան հակամարտությունն այսպիսով մտել է դիրքային ռազմա-քաղաքական պատերազմի փուլ, որտեղ հայկական կողմն ունի որոշակի առավելություն, այդ թվում՝ պատասխան հարվածի լեգիտիմ իրավունք: Ներկայում առաջնայինն այդ առավելությունը պահպանելու ու զարգացնելու խնդիրն է:
                      Last edited by Vrej1915; 05-21-2017, 03:08 PM.