Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

[Vahramig]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

to Vardan, it is not a Republic thank you for the education. Does this now mean that we should not sa --> Long live the Constitutional Monarchy of Japan may God Bless them? or do you really need more clarification from me?

Long Live Japan... Long Live The Republic Of Armenia

Regards,

[Eddo211]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

and one thing alone: oil. Let us also not forget, oil is a limitied resource, and in Azerbaijan's case, it's expected to run out by 2019, THAT'S A MEAGER 8 YEARS FROM NOW. After that, Azerbaijan will be of no significance for western economic interests. Then what? Can someone oh please answer that question???????...

Azerbaijan, besides having limited energy reserves (not to mention the chances of new Western technology that could reach deeper reservoirs if ever found, so far none found) Baku is more considered an ideal and established "transit route" of furure Turkman oil piped under the Caspian sea where Turkey is also to be a hub to Eastern Europe.....this is why I say time is not on the Armenian side.

The world doesn’t care who holds or control the flow of the resources, as long as they can get it, like a heroin freaking addict.

[londontsi]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan, besides having limited energy reserves (not to mention the chances of new Western technology that could reach deeper reservoirs if ever found, so far none found) Baku is more considered an ideal and established "transit route" of furure Turkman oil piped under the Caspian sea where Turkey is also to be a hub to Eastern Europe.....this is why I say time is not on the Armenian side.

The world doesn’t care who holds or control the flow of the resources, as long as they can get it, like a heroin freaking addict.

This route has been explored many times before.

Yes its the ideal way to marginalise Iran and Russia as far as Central Asian oil is concerned.
They failed every time because Caspian sea is not a sea but a lake.
Accordingly there has to be a joint agreement for such projects.

Although Russian and Iranian interests have diverged at times on the division of the Caspian (shoreline etc.)
one thing they have not disagreed on is that their permission /agreement is required.

Guess what Russia and Iran have in mind.

[londontsi]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

Additionally the though that Azerbaijan will become penniless in a few years time ( peak oil etc.) is just idle talk and wishful thinking.
Azerbaijan will be “there” in 50 and 100 years time.

We should plan and live accordingly rather than live in virtual reality.

[Artsakh]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

Additionally the though that Azerbaijan will become penniless in a few years time ( peak oil etc.) is just idle talk and wishful thinking.
Azerbaijan will be “there” in 50 and 100 years time.

We should plan and live accordingly rather than live in virtual reality.

I don't recall anyone saying Azerbaijan will become penniless, but it will cease to have revenue once oil drains literally in just a few years. What does "be there in 50 and 100 years" refer to? Azerbaijan as a country? or Azeri oil? If it's Azeri oil ur referring to, i'd suggest you stop living in virtual reallity.

[Vardan]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

Soldier of Azerbaijani Army dies

[ 19 Apr 2011 11:36 ]
Baku. Hafiz Heydarov - APA. A soldier of the Azerbaijani Army dies.

APA reports that the incident was recorded in the Defense Ministry’s “N” military unit situated in the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic. Orkhan Nariman Babayev, 19, drafted from the Ordubad Region Military Commissariat died as a result of disease.

The Defense Ministry confirmed the fact to APA.

http://en.apa.az/news.php?id=145284

[londontsi]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

I don't recall anyone saying Azerbaijan will become penniless, but it will cease to have revenue once oil drains literally in just a few years..

Azerbaijan has been building reserves (from oil) that will, with investment income carry them some way after that.
They may well get smarter President (and a government ) in due course to become more productive and self-sufficient.
So as a hostile threat they are there to stay.

What does "be there in 50 and 100 years" refer to? Azerbaijan as a country? or Azeri oil? If it's Azeri oil ur referring to, i'd suggest you stop living in virtual reallity.

I will let you to chew on that one.

[KarotheGreat]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan has been building reserves (from oil) that will, with investment income carry them some way after that.
They may well get smarter President (and a government ) in due course to become more productive and self-sufficient.
So as a hostile threat they are there to stay.






I will let you to chew on that one.

You forget the fact that once they can't pump up oil they don't have anything to replace the loss of their oil revenue. They have got 6 years of oil left in the ground after that it's all gone. If they don't start investing the money into other sections of their economy they will never be able to catch the loss of the oil because next year is the peak and then it will go down after that. Do you really see Alijev giving up his power?

[londontsi]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

You forget the fact that once they can't pump up oil they don't have anything to replace the loss of their oil revenue. They have got 6 years of oil left in the ground after that it's all gone.

On your figures that means 10-15 years to sort their ship.
Of coarse with a war all arithmetic would disappear, and peak oil will come very early indeed.

If they don't start investing the money into other sections of their economy they will never be able to catch the loss of the oil because next year is the peak and then it will go down after that.

With regards them investing in the other parts of the economy they have a fundamental problem.
This applies to all “oil” economies.
They tend to have a strong currency because of currency reserves and balance of payment surplus etc.
Other industries cannot survive or thrive in such economic environment.
Even agriculture can suffer since it becomes cheaper to import.
You can imagine how manufacturing would fare.

Do you really see Alijev giving up his power?

Of coarse being who he is and his family story he will not go democratically.
However he does not write history.
You only have to think of Mubarak and Gadhafi to see he would not have a choice in the matter.
Remember the saying “ A week is a long time in politics”.

[Mukuch]

Re: Nagorno-Karabagh: Military Balance Between Armenia & Azerbaijan

Turkey exported ammunition worth $267m to Azerbaijan


April 19, 2011 | 11:24

Two companies functioning in the defense sector of Turkey exported goods worth $267 million to Azerbaijan, APA agency reports quoting Turkish National Defense Ministry.

ROKETSAN, the biggest missile manufacturer of Turkey, exported to Azerbaijan goods worth $244 million. “Otokar” company started implementation of the $23m contract with Azerbaijan on exporting armored vehicles (Cobra wheeled vehicle and Land Rover Defender vehicles).