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Regional geopolitics

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  • Re: Regional geopolitics

    STRATFOR 2016: Azerbaijan will resort to military escalation to divert attention from economic difficulties


    Politics 19:58 02/04/2016 Region
    STRATFOR, a geopolitical intelligence firm, which provides strategic analysis, published a forecast regarding geopolitical processes expected in the second quarter of 2016.

    According to the report, Azerbaijan will escalate the Nagorno Karabakh dispute between itself and Armenia as it tries to divert attention from domestic economic difficulties. Still, STRATFOR argues, major military hostilities are unlikely to break out.Russia and Turkey will try to influence talks between the two countries through their respective allies.

    Earlier today, the press service of the NKR Ministry of Defense reported that on the night of April 1-2, as well as on April 2 in the morning, the Azerbaijani military forces undertook large-scale offensive actions along the entire perimeter of the line of contact between Karabakh and Azerbaijani troops, as a result of which, the military positions of the Armenian Armed Forces and peaceful human settlements are exposed to artillery firing.

    According to the Nagorno Karabakh Republic Defense Army reports, on April 2in the morning, at 08:30 a.m. Yerevan time, Vaghinak Grigoryan, born in 2004,was killedand other two children were woundedas a result of artillery rocket firing from MM-21 (Grad) in the direction of Martuni.

    According to updated information, Karabakh forces have destroyed twoof the adversary’s tanks in the south-eastern direction, and a tank and a UAV in the north-eastern direction. At about 12:30 p.m. Yerevan time, the NKR Air Defense forces downed one more military helicopter of the Azerbaijani Armed Forces in the south-eastern direction, and one UAV in the north-eastern direction.
    General Antranik (1865-1927): “I am not a nationalist. I recognize only one nation, the nation of the oppressed.”

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    • Re: Regional geopolitics

      Originally posted by Azad View Post
      I do not believe it will deteriorate further.

      1- Oil prices dropped back to their lowest point after some gains in months.
      2- aliyev returned back from the states empty hands with the usual BS
      3- Obama wasn't too chummy with erdogan

      All the above equated to extreme frustration from the turkic gang. Their frustrations turned to blind, stupid attacks.
      Defeated nations, who don't believe in themselves usually imagine the most optimistic scenario. And they are wrong every time!

      Erdogan has obtained everything he wants from USA, Germany, France, United Kingdom.. including 6 billion, in spite of helping ISIS

      Obama and the others don't mind upsetting millions of their own citizens, who don't want to give anything to Erdogan

      How much does Armenian opinion count for politicians in USA and other Western countries?

      Comment


      • Re: Regional geopolitics

        Originally posted by lampron View Post
        Defeated nations, who don't believe in themselves usually imagine the most optimistic scenario. And they are wrong every time!
        “millet-i sadıka" mentality

        Originally posted by lampron View Post
        Erdogan has obtained everything he wants from USA, Germany, France, United Kingdom.. including 6 billion, in spite of helping ISI.
        You failed to mention how he alienated all the kurds and divided his country to the brink of a civil war. Renewed animosity with Russia. Lost any hope to control Syria/Middle east. The turkish economy tanked, lost billions in Russian tourism. Most of the West is turning a blind eye for his deranged behavior. Let us see for how long.

        Originally posted by lampron View Post
        Obama and the others don’t mind upsetting millions of their own citizens, who don’t want to give anything to Erdogan
        NATO’s desperation on keeping turks in the club has been noted. The fact NATO is becoming another useless UN. All talk no action.

        Originally posted by lampron View Post
        How much does Armenian opinion count for politicians in USA and other Western countries?
        US’s opinion is irrelevant as long Russia’s opinion will stay positive towards Armenia. Today’s US are the Brits of yesterdays. It is about oil (not for long) and controlling Russia with its natural resources. This has been going on since the Napoleonic war. Western empires are all gone while their countries are being invaded by Islamic hordes. Russia is still here.
        Last edited by Azad; 04-02-2016, 08:18 PM.

        Comment


        • Re: Regional geopolitics

          Originally posted by lampron View Post
          Defeated nations, who don't believe in themselves usually imagine the most optimistic scenario. And they are wrong every time!
          Thomas de Waal the pro British oil interest propagandist expressed the British stand on the conflict. It also reflects an overall US's interest in the region, excluding the Herya vs Iran want.

          "Political scientist Thomas de Waal has told the radio station “Deutsche Welle” that the new developments in the region are taking place against the background of a new turning point in the Middle East conflict.

          War is a great risk for Azerbaijan: Thomas de Waal

          The Armenian side will benefit from the status quo. For Azerbaijan war is a great risk that threatens their government, as the golden era of economic development in Azerbaijan comes to its end. Oil prices fall and
          Azerbaijan is entering a new phase,” - he said.

          According to Mr. de Waal Karabakh is the only factor that can bring together Azerbaijanis against Armenians."

          http://www.tert.am/en/news/2016/04/0...n-risk/1982107

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          • Re: Regional geopolitics

            Comment


            • Re: Regional geopolitics

              03.04.2016
              Դիվանագիտական հարթակի մի քանի նրբերանգ այսօրվանից, որ լավ կլիներ նկատի առնեինք ապագայում

              Դիվանագիտական հարթակի մի քանի նրբերանգ էսօրվանից, որ լավ կլիներ նկատի առնեինք ապագայում.
              -Ամենաշատ հայտարարություններ տարածեց ՌԴ ԱԳՆ-ն, թեև խոսքաշարն ավանդական էր, իսկ ռազմավարական դաշնակցի փաստի մասին անգամ հեռավոր ակնարկ չկար.
              -Բելառուսն անսպասելիորեն ակտիվացավ, ու ոչ հօգուտ մեզ: Ալիևին զանգելուց հետո Բատկան ամոթու Սարգսյանին էլ զանգեց, բայց դե քայլը չընկալվեց, էն էլ՝ ԵՏՄ-ում անդամակցության համատեքստում.
              -Ֆրանսիայի ԱԳՆ-ի արձագանքը սպասելիորեն զուսպ ու հավասարակշիռ էր: Համանախագահ երկրներից միայն ԱՄՆ-ն՝ ի դեմս Սպիտակ տան և Պետքարտուղարության, էդպես էլ լուռ մնաց, էն դեպքում, երբ, ասենք, անգամ Ավստրիայի և Նորվեգիայի ԱԳ նախարարներն արտահայտվեցին: Ի դեպ, երկու օր առաջ Քերին Ալիևին էր ընդունել ու աջակցել Ադրբեջանի «տարածքային ամբողջականությանը»:
              -էդպես էլ չխոսեց Բորդյուժան՝ իր մամուլի խոսնակին ընդամենը մի էրկու անատամ հայտարարություն պատվիրելով...
              ‪#‎NKPeace‬ ‪#‎KarabakhNow‬
              Նյութի աղբյուր՝ https://www.facebook.com/davit.sargs...59627536214639
              Կայքում տեղ գտած մտքերն ու տեսակետները հեղինակի սեփականությունն են և կարող են չհամընկնել BlogNews.am-ի խմբագրության տեսակետների հետ:

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              • Re: Regional geopolitics

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                • Re: Regional geopolitics

                  BBC = azeri point of view.

                  http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-35954969

                  Comment


                  • Re: Regional geopolitics

                    Comment


                    • Re: Regional geopolitics

                      Originally posted by Vrej1915 View Post
                      This is BS

                      How is NATO not involved when Turkey as a NATO member has declared its full support for the Azerbaijani attack. Has NATO opposed the Turkish position? No.

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