Re: Regional geopolitics
First, it's not my statement.....
1/ Things change, and are not frozen, specially in our region. It is the duty of each national leadership, to try and take as much as possible, for their national interests, from the game of superpowers, when a possibility shows up.
2/ The US position changed substantially in our region, from 1991... their first move was to use us among others, to brake the USSR (Hayrikyan, Levon...). Then they tried the Goble plan, which meant our neutralisation, as a factor....., in Key West they tried a Pax Americana, at the hight of their glory..... but yet again, their policy of BTC served as best guarantor of peace in the Transkavkaz. In 2008, it was their intervention, that neutralised/stopped Russia's Medvedev's plan of "land for Russian Peace".
Think the evolution is evident.
Nothing guarantees that things will not change on a reverse mode, to a "Goble II", but until very recently (changes may occur after Sept 3 + Khrim??), their policy in our region, specially regarding the containment of Turkey they so well ochastrated, suited quite well our national interests.
It is the duty of our leadership, to try to get the most of it, provided we have that ambition....
3/ On a contrary, Russia, oficially, systematically, and consistently considered Artsakh's future solution with:
- return of territories, if not all NKR under azerbaijani rule.(as a price, for the "shift" Baku is supposed to do from the West towards Maskwa)
- deployment of russian troops in and around Artsakh, as guarantor of russian presence in all Transkavkaz.
- Russia systematically rejected, any pretentzia of NKR to self determination, in the aftermath of South Ossetia and Abkhazia.... same will be the case for Khrim, in a couple of months, once things will calm down there.
4/ The independance/liberation of NKR was not the result of a backing, planning in Moskwa, Washington, or even , in much extent, in Yerevan. It was the result of the unpredictable tenacity of the Artsakhian people's will, first of all, backed by the creme of the Armenian Nation's patriotic part. Russian contribution is nil, at best, if you consider all parameters.
Outside Armenia, if any state had any contribution in this victory, it is only our Southern neighbor....
5/ By todays's probabilities, if any power will end up recognising NKR as an independent state, it is the US, or its "cliens", in all likelyhood, and certainly not Russia.
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NB: Granted that every actor acts according its interests, and not 'for sympathy' towards us.....
Originally posted by Mher
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1/ Things change, and are not frozen, specially in our region. It is the duty of each national leadership, to try and take as much as possible, for their national interests, from the game of superpowers, when a possibility shows up.
2/ The US position changed substantially in our region, from 1991... their first move was to use us among others, to brake the USSR (Hayrikyan, Levon...). Then they tried the Goble plan, which meant our neutralisation, as a factor....., in Key West they tried a Pax Americana, at the hight of their glory..... but yet again, their policy of BTC served as best guarantor of peace in the Transkavkaz. In 2008, it was their intervention, that neutralised/stopped Russia's Medvedev's plan of "land for Russian Peace".
Think the evolution is evident.
Nothing guarantees that things will not change on a reverse mode, to a "Goble II", but until very recently (changes may occur after Sept 3 + Khrim??), their policy in our region, specially regarding the containment of Turkey they so well ochastrated, suited quite well our national interests.
It is the duty of our leadership, to try to get the most of it, provided we have that ambition....
3/ On a contrary, Russia, oficially, systematically, and consistently considered Artsakh's future solution with:
- return of territories, if not all NKR under azerbaijani rule.(as a price, for the "shift" Baku is supposed to do from the West towards Maskwa)
- deployment of russian troops in and around Artsakh, as guarantor of russian presence in all Transkavkaz.
- Russia systematically rejected, any pretentzia of NKR to self determination, in the aftermath of South Ossetia and Abkhazia.... same will be the case for Khrim, in a couple of months, once things will calm down there.
4/ The independance/liberation of NKR was not the result of a backing, planning in Moskwa, Washington, or even , in much extent, in Yerevan. It was the result of the unpredictable tenacity of the Artsakhian people's will, first of all, backed by the creme of the Armenian Nation's patriotic part. Russian contribution is nil, at best, if you consider all parameters.
Outside Armenia, if any state had any contribution in this victory, it is only our Southern neighbor....
5/ By todays's probabilities, if any power will end up recognising NKR as an independent state, it is the US, or its "cliens", in all likelyhood, and certainly not Russia.
-------
NB: Granted that every actor acts according its interests, and not 'for sympathy' towards us.....
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