Originally posted by Federate
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However, having said, I think its laughable to think anywhere near 58% of the country supports the ruling party. I think it is safe to say that Serj didn't get the majority. honestly, the graphic tomservo posted is dead on, because its difficult to find anyone in Armenia who supports the ruling party. Maybe 10-20% of the politically connected, but as far as regular citizens, I never found one person who said yes I support Serj.
As far as pre-election polling: for one, many of them were done way before the election, and even then there was a trend of serj's vote total decreasing and Raffi's increasing. Also, they were done by very obscure organizations. Furthermore, many disenchanted people could have simply chose not to respond, which would favor Serj supporters only responding. Moreover, I'm sure they wouldn't be difficult to manipulate considering the organizations that conducted them ( As Rafi put it Sood Gallup ). Finally, its not surprising that Serj would get a majority of them, even if they were fair, because they were done early on, when besides Serj, most of the field was unrecognizable.
Anyway, I don't think Raffi has any sort of a mandate, because he was simply the only alternative left and its hard to definitively claim he got majority of the vote. Having said that, I definitely don't think the election was representative of what the people of that country think.




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